Applying an open-economy macroeconomic model, incorporating the monetary policy reaction function and uncovering interest parity, this paper finds that the expected real exchange rate and real output exhibit an inverted J-shape relationship, suggesting that expected real depreciation increases...

In this article we have tried to assess the possible relationships between shuttle trade and the expletory variables and the expletory variables, export (f.o.b.), import (c.i.f.) and CPI based real effective US dollar exchange rate. We employed monthly data of Turkey covering the years from...

One of the most important open macroeconomic issues, during the current global economic recession, concerns the sustainability of persistent budget and trade deficits as well as possible interactions between them. These deficits are most crucial due to severe debt servicing costs, faced by...

Ein konjunkturbezogenes Transfersystem für die Mitgliedsländer des Euroraums könnte einen Beitrag dazu leisten, zyklische Ungleichgewichte zwischen den Ländern auszugleichen. Ein solches System wird hier in der konkreten Form einer europäischen Arbeitslosenversicherung vorgeschlagen. Durch...

While many studies have demonstrated the impact of weather conditions along with lunar phases on stock markets, this paper explores the impact of lunar phases on the bank lending channel for a sample of European banks, using the GMM estimator methodology, suggested in Arellano and Bond (1991),...

The purpose of this paper is to examine whether the choice of exchange rate regime can affect the likelihood of banking crises in emerging countries. We estimate the impact of exchange rate arrangements on crises in a panel-data set of 56 emerging countries using a logit method. We find that...

Besides providing enhanced macroeconomic and financial stability, a commitment to optimum monetary policy conduct in a developing economy like Nigeria could better deliver greater long-run stability of both internal and external macroeconomic factors. The need for an ordered monetary policy...