Showing 1 - 10 of 106
. The out-of-sample forecasting performance of the TVP-VAR model is evaluated against the simple VAR and ARIMA models, by … consistently outperforms the simple VAR and ARIMA models. -- stock prices ; exchange rates ; bivariate causality ; forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958060
-parametric approaches of seasonal adjustment. Then, we compare the forecasting performance of these methods. The empirical results militate … in favour of the TRAMO-SEATS method. In fact, this approach provides the best forecast. In terms of forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148054
; temporal disaggregation ; forecasting ; nowcasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010030016
The paper examines the determinants of inflation in some West African countries. Using the Johansen technique and time series between 1970q1 and 2010q4 the study determines whether inflation in these African countries is mainly imported (via import prices and exchange rate movements) or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010097696
This study investigated the impact of external debt on economic growth of Tanzania for the period of 1990-2010. The study used time series data on external debt and economic performance. It is assumed that external debt helps developing countries to meet developing needs. While debt servicing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148059
In this era of open economy, nations are concerned with increasing the quality of life of their citizens. And, the quality of life mainly comes from the macro-economic prosperity. Thus, fast growth of gross domestic Product has become the most important objective of any economy. There are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958076
This paper sets out a comprehensive framework to identify regional business cycles within Spain and analyses their stylised features and the degree of synchronisation both within them and between them and the Spanish economy. We show that the regional cycles are quite heterogeneous although they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010078111
This study investigates the dynamic relationship between stock return and trading volume in the banking sector of Amman Stock Exchange (ASE). In addition, it reveals the nature and direction of this relationship. Therefore, several tests were utilized to include: Bivariate regression model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148092
The western pension systems and especially the Spanish one will noticeably be a®ected by an aging of the population that is currently underway. This work proposes a pension model for Spain which would mean deep structural reforms that would guarantee meeting the objectives established by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009957384
Grey system theory can powerfully deal with incomplete and uncertain information. In this paper, we introduced an improved grey GM(1,1) model that integrates residual modification with Markov chain model. By this model, we improved the forecast accuracy of original grey forecast model and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958471