This article aims to identify the most relevant variables that allow through a neural network model (RNA), with supervised learning, in a kind of error correction and feedforward perceptron multilayer architecture to achieve the best predictors of low risk, in the process of microcredit....

Status quo bias is a systematic cognitive error which makes it difficult for individuals to make decisions independently of the currently dominant situation. This study pursues the question of whether bond market analysts are affected by status quo bias. We evaluated interest rate forecast...

Die von wirtschaftlichen Umbrüchen geprägten Jahre nach der Wiedervereinigung waren für viele Ostdeutsche mit zunehmender Unsicherheit verbunden, während die Veränderungen in Westdeutschland weitaus weniger gravierend waren. In der Folge kam es in den 90er Jahren zu einem massiven Rückgang...

The paper investigates the importance of probability weighting in financial decisions and examines the degree to which risk-taking behavior deviates from expected utility theory in the presence of probability weighting. A group of professional traders participates in an experiment, whose data...

Labor market policies succeed or fail at least in part depending on how well they reflect or account for behavioral responses. Insights from behavioral economics, which allow for realistic deviations from standard economic assumptions about behavior, have consequences for the design and...

This study examined the relationship between share prices and dividends, earnings and book values for companies listed on the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) in Kenya for the six years period between 2005 and 2010. Using panel data analysis the study found evidence that there is a positive and...

Contemporary research documents various psychological aspects of economic thought and decision-making. The main goal of our study is to analyze the role of the hindsight bias (Fischhoff [20]) and the anchoring bias (Tversky and Kahneman [53]) in perceiving economic and financial information,...

In October 2002, a substitution reform was introduced in the Swedish pharmaceuticals market. In this paper, the effects of increased price competition due to the reform on the entry of new pharmaceutical products were studied. The results show that the reform did affect the entry behavior of...

Das amerikanische Politmagazin Foreign Policy befragte zwischen August und September 2012 insgesamt 62 bekannte US-Ökonomen, worin sie die Hauptursache für die schleppende Erholung des Arbeitsmarkts sehen. Am häufigsten genannt wurde "Unsicherheit" (31 Prozent). Was ist mit diesem Begriff...

Disclosure of private medical information allows insurance companies to better predict medical expenditures. The premiums the companies charge the insured employees reflect these expenditures. This paper studies incentives of employees to disclose their medical information. I find that healthier...