Showing 21 - 30 of 47
Applying an open-economy macroeconomic model, incorporating the monetary policy reaction function and uncovering interest parity, this paper finds that the expected real exchange rate and real output exhibit an inverted J-shape relationship, suggesting that expected real depreciation increases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958051
This paper examines the long-run and short-run impacts of exchange rate and price changes on trade flows in Nigeria using exports and imports functions. The bounds testing (ARDL) approach to cointegration is applied on a quarterly data from 1980 Q1 to 2007 Q4. The results indicate that in both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958054
In this study, a vector autoregression (VAR) model with time-varying parameters (TVP) to predict the daily Indian rupee (INR)/US dollar (USD) exchange rates for the Indian economy is developed. The method is based on characterization of the TVP as an optimal control problem. The methodology is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958060
This paper tests the Purchasing Power Parity Theory of Exchange Rates dealing with Argentinean data for the period 1900-2006. This is equivalent to testing if the Real Exchange Rate is a stationary variable or if its components (the nominal exchange rate and the relative prices) are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009959087
In almost all stages of forecasting volatility, certain subjective decisions need to be made. Despite of an enormous …. In order to find out outperforming model in general not just in the contexts of studies, volatility models should be …, EWMA), GARCH family models (GARCH, GRJ-GARCH, GARCH, APARCH, NAGARCH, FIGARCH) and Stochastic Volatility model. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148073
The literature wisdom shows that both theoretical and empirical studies provide contradictory predictions about the relationship between market concentration or competiveness and financial stability in the banking system. In the past two decades, the structure of banking industry of many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148095
In the last days of the electoral campaign for the 2004 general election in Spain, on Thursday March 11th 2004, a series of simultaneous terror attacks caused the death of 191 persons in commuting trains in the capital Madrid. Four days later, the opposition party won the election, against all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148155
In present study, we contribute to the discussion on international stock market correlations, by analyzing interdependencies between stock returns in US and Israeli stock exchanges. In particular, we concentrate on the original feature of Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE) where the trading week...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148279
objective is to provide a framework to model conditional volatility regarding the changes in the investor sentiment by measuring … the effect of noise trader demand shocks on the volatility of stock market indexes of the various countries. GARCH, TARCH …, and EGARCH models are used to test whether earning shocks have more influence on the conditional volatility in high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010058685
Although London appeared as the first international financial center on the world, the number of these kind of centers show a notable increase in the recent years. Those centers are regarded as magnetic places for the economic issues and they also serve as important economic centers. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010058686