In this study, a vector autoregression (VAR) model with time-varying parameters (TVP) to predict the daily Indian rupee (INR)/US dollar (USD) exchange rates for the Indian economy is developed. The method is based on characterization of the TVP as an optimal control problem. The methodology is a...

The paper examines the determinants of inflation in some West African countries. Using the Johansen technique and time series between 1970q1 and 2010q4 the study determines whether inflation in these African countries is mainly imported (via import prices and exchange rate movements) or...

This study investigated the impact of external debt on economic growth of Tanzania for the period of 1990-2010. The study used time series data on external debt and economic performance. It is assumed that external debt helps developing countries to meet developing needs. While debt servicing...

This paper aims at providing quantitative analysis of the dynamics of money supply, exchange rate and inflation in Nigeria. The paper utilizes secondary data that were obtained from the International Financial Statistics (IFS), of all variables investigated in the model. The sample covers...

Applying an open-economy macroeconomic model, incorporating the monetary policy reaction function and uncovering interest parity, this paper finds that the expected real exchange rate and real output exhibit an inverted J-shape relationship, suggesting that expected real depreciation increases...

The purpose of this paper is to examine whether the choice of exchange rate regime can affect the likelihood of banking crises in emerging countries. We estimate the impact of exchange rate arrangements on crises in a panel-data set of 56 emerging countries using a logit method. We find that...

The main result of this paper consists in the resolution of the inverse problem for the Black-Cox (1976) model, using the method proposed by Sukhomlin (2007). Based on the backward approach, we obtain an exact expression of the implied volatility expressed as a function of quantifiable market...

Although London appeared as the first international financial center on the world, the number of these kind of centers show a notable increase in the recent years. Those centers are regarded as magnetic places for the economic issues and they also serve as important economic centers. In the...

Construction companies face threats from competition, the need to adapt to modern technology, and changes in customer expectations. These issues require efficient risk management techniques. However, construction companies are late adopters of total quality management, one of the major risk...

The classical APT model is of the form r j - E(r j) = beta j(I - EI) + epsilon j, where r j - E(r j) is the earning deviation (called basic ariance-profit) of the security j, I is a common factor. This paper considers the impact on the securities return caused by the skewness and kurtosis of the...