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MICA-BBVA : a factor model of economic and financial indicators for short-term GDP forecasting

Camacho, Máximo; Doménech, Rafael - In: SERIEs : Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 3 (2012) 4, pp. 475-497

indicators are useful for forecasting output growth, particularly when certain financial variables lead the common factor … of the Spanish Economy. -- business cycles ; output growth ; short-term forecasting …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010078109

Identifying Taiwan real estate cycle turning points : an application of the multivariate Markov-switching autoregressive Model

Lee, Chun-chang; Liang, Chih-min; Chou, Hsing-jung - In: Advances in management & applied economics 3 (2013) 2, pp. 1-23

The identification of real estate cycles has always been an important issue in the study of real estate. This paper selected as indicators the Composite Leading Index and Reference Cycle Index regarding the real estate cycles in Taiwan, as they incorporate real estate activities, such as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010097699

Aktuelle Steuerreformvorschläge haben kaum Auswirkungen auf das Wirtschaftswachstum

Bach, Stefan; Brüggemann-Borck, Imke; Fichtner, Ferdinand - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 80 (2013) 35, pp. 3-10

Nach den Wahlen im September sind größere Änderungen beim Einkommensteuertarif zu erwarten. Ferner wird häufig gefordert, Familien mit Kindern stärker zu fördern. Aus diesem Anlass hat das DIW Berlin einige Änderungsvorschläge hinsichtlich ihrer gesamtwirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010185909

A factor analysis for the Spanish economy

Cuevas, Ángel; Quilis, Enrique M. - In: SERIEs : Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 3 (2012) 3, pp. 311-338

We present a medium-scale dynamic factor model to estimate and forecast the rate of growth of the Spanish economy in the very short term. The intermediate size of the model overcomes the serious specification problems associated with large scale-models and the implicit loss of information of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010030016

Deutsche Industrie stemmt sich gegen die Krise im Euroraum

Lucke, Dorothea - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 79 (2012) 48, pp. 16-24

Die Industrie in Deutschland hat bis zum dritten Quartal das Produktionsniveau des Vorjahres knapp halten können. Sie stand einer im Jahresverlauf stark rückläufigen Nachfrage aus dem Inland und dem Euroraum und einer leicht steigenden Nachfrage aus dem Nicht-Euroraum gegenüber. Für das...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010079493

Wege zu einem höheren Wachstumspfad

Bach, Stefan; Baldi, Guido; Bernoth, Kerstin; Bremer, Björn - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 80 (2013) 26, pp. 6-17

German economy appears to have excelled compared to many other euro area states. Unemployment has fallen to the lowest level … since German reunification, economic output has grown by over eight percent since 2009 and public budgets have been …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148270

Job security and the age-composition of employment : evidence from Chile

Pagés, Carmen; Montenegro, Claudio E. - In: Estudios de economía 34 (2007) 2, pp. 109-139

on overall aggregate employment, participation or unemployment rates. -- job security ; employment composition …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009959084

Empirical analysis of employment and foreign direct investment in Malaysia : an ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration

Pinn, Stan Lee Shun; Ching, Kok Sook; Kogid, Mori; … - In: Advances in management & applied economics 1 (2011) 3, pp. 77-91

This study examines the relationships between the employment and foreign direct investment (FDI) in Malaysia. The Malaysian government continues to put efforts in attracting more FDI inflows as it seems that FDI plays a major role in the economic development of Malaysia. Besides, there is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010009045

Wage and occupational assimilation by skill level : migration policy lessons from Spain

Rodríguez-Planas, Núria - In: IZA Journal of European Labor Studies 1 (2012), pp. 1-24

dynamic simulations that account for the swings of the unemployment rates before and after the 2007 crisis. Our results … productivity, and demographics, succeed in explaining a great part of the changes in unemployment in both countries …. -- unemployment dynamics ; structural multi-equation models ; chain reaction theory ; simulations ; PIGS …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118876

Who bears the cost of the business cycle? : labor-market institutions and volatility of the youth unemployment rate

Kawaguchi, Daiji; Murao, Tetsushi - In: IZA Journal of Labor Policy 1 (2012), pp. 1-22

The way age-specific unemployment rates fluctuate over the business cycle differs significantly across countries. This … paper examines the effect of labor-market institutions on the fluctuations of age-specific unemployment rates based on panel … existing workforce induces the employment adjustment of new entrants into the labor market. -- unemployment ; labor market …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118881