Showing 1 - 10 of 59
This study examines the impact of volatility shifts on volatility persistence for three major sector indices of Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) and ISE National 100 index over the period beginning from 1997 and ending in 2009. The exponential generalized autoregressive conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958079
-parametric approaches of seasonal adjustment. Then, we compare the forecasting performance of these methods. The empirical results militate … in favour of the TRAMO-SEATS method. In fact, this approach provides the best forecast. In terms of forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148054
; temporal disaggregation ; forecasting ; nowcasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010030016
. The out-of-sample forecasting performance of the TVP-VAR model is evaluated against the simple VAR and ARIMA models, by … consistently outperforms the simple VAR and ARIMA models. -- stock prices ; exchange rates ; bivariate causality ; forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958060
Although London appeared as the first international financial center on the world, the number of these kind of centers show a notable increase in the recent years. Those centers are regarded as magnetic places for the economic issues and they also serve as important economic centers. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010058686
It is a well-known fact that most of the asset returns tend to be skewed and heavytailed. Heavy tailed distributions such as the Student’s t distribution and Stable distribution are commonly used in finance to model asset returns that areheavy tailed. Additionally, Stable distribution allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010058691
This paper determines whether the VaR estimation is influenced by conditional distribution of return rates (normal, t-student, GED) and attempts to choose the model which best estimates VaR on a selected example. We considered logarithmic return rates for the WIG-20 index from 1999-2011. Then,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010009392
This paper aims at testing the influence of Subprime Crisis on Chinese stock market returns. By means of newly proposed time series spatial analysis methodology, we investigate the dominance behavior of daily returns on both Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index and Shenzhen Stock Exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118417
This study investigated the impact of external debt on economic growth of Tanzania for the period of 1990-2010. The study used time series data on external debt and economic performance. It is assumed that external debt helps developing countries to meet developing needs. While debt servicing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148059
This paper focuses on the development of both failure prediction models on a paired sample and a random sample of small and medium-sized firms with head offices located in the region of Castilla y León (Spain), in order to prove if the predictive power of the developed models is affected by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010160658