Showing 1 - 10 of 70
. The out-of-sample forecasting performance of the TVP-VAR model is evaluated against the simple VAR and ARIMA models, by … consistently outperforms the simple VAR and ARIMA models. -- stock prices ; exchange rates ; bivariate causality ; forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958060
The paper examines the determinants of inflation in some West African countries. Using the Johansen technique and time series between 1970q1 and 2010q4 the study determines whether inflation in these African countries is mainly imported (via import prices and exchange rate movements) or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010097696
This study investigated the impact of external debt on economic growth of Tanzania for the period of 1990-2010. The study used time series data on external debt and economic performance. It is assumed that external debt helps developing countries to meet developing needs. While debt servicing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148059
This paper aims at providing quantitative analysis of the dynamics of money supply, exchange rate and inflation in Nigeria. The paper utilizes secondary data that were obtained from the International Financial Statistics (IFS), of all variables investigated in the model. The sample covers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010058675
-parametric approaches of seasonal adjustment. Then, we compare the forecasting performance of these methods. The empirical results militate … in favour of the TRAMO-SEATS method. In fact, this approach provides the best forecast. In terms of forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148054
; temporal disaggregation ; forecasting ; nowcasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010030016
This paper tests the Purchasing Power Parity Theory of Exchange Rates dealing with Argentinean data for the period 1900-2006. This is equivalent to testing if the Real Exchange Rate is a stationary variable or if its components (the nominal exchange rate and the relative prices) are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009959087
Some researchers, for example, Koop [1], and Sims [2], have advocated for Bayesian alternatives to unit-root testing over the classical approach using the augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF). This paper studies the power of what Koop [1] has called the Objectiveʺ Bayesian approach to unit-root...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010080118
Demand for hospital inpatient care varies in a consistent way. However, a part of this variability is unpredictable. Hospitals react to this situation by holding standby capacity in order to be prepared to meet unanticipated surges in demand. This paper examines the production responses to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010080131
This study deals with the seasonality of monthly time series of nominal exchange rates. Available literature overlooks seasonality in nominal bilateral exchange rates, and generally assumes that such rates are non-seasonal. We show that seasonality is absent in recent data, while it was present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010080132