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A factor analysis for the Spanish economy

Cuevas, Ángel; Quilis, Enrique M. - In: SERIEs : Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 3 (2012) 3, pp. 311-338

; temporal disaggregation ; forecasting ; nowcasting …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010030016

MICA-BBVA : a factor model of economic and financial indicators for short-term GDP forecasting

Camacho, Máximo; Doménech, Rafael - In: SERIEs : Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 3 (2012) 4, pp. 475-497

In this paper we extend the Stock and Watson’s (Leading economic indicators, new approaches and forecasting records … indicators are useful for forecasting output growth, particularly when certain financial variables lead the common factor … of the Spanish Economy. -- business cycles ; output growth ; short-term forecasting …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010078109

Identifying Taiwan real estate cycle turning points : an application of the multivariate Markov-switching autoregressive Model

Lee, Chun-chang; Liang, Chih-min; Chou, Hsing-jung - In: Advances in management & applied economics 3 (2013) 2, pp. 1-23

were subject to the influence of unobservable variables. Also, the models with the best fit are MSIAH (2)-VAR (8) with the … speaking, L(1)-MSIH(2)-ARX(8) and MSIAH(2)-VAR(8) produced rather accurate results in terms of identifying the turning points …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010097699

Aktuelle Steuerreformvorschläge haben kaum Auswirkungen auf das Wirtschaftswachstum

Bach, Stefan; Brüggemann-Borck, Imke; Fichtner, Ferdinand - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 80 (2013) 35, pp. 3-10

Nach den Wahlen im September sind größere Änderungen beim Einkommensteuertarif zu erwarten. Ferner wird häufig gefordert, Familien mit Kindern stärker zu fördern. Aus diesem Anlass hat das DIW Berlin einige Änderungsvorschläge hinsichtlich ihrer gesamtwirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010185909

Wohnungspreise und Mieten steigen 2013 in vielen deutschen Großstädten weiter

Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Mense, Andreas - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 79 (2012) 45, pp. 3-13

; forecasting ; dynamic panel model ; spatial autocorrelation ; German cities …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010079482

Sources of inflation in developing countries : evidence from some West African countries

Oladipo, Olajide S.; Ntoko, Alfred; Forrester, Wayne - In: Advances in management & applied economics 3 (2013) 2, pp. 83-102

The paper examines the determinants of inflation in some West African countries. Using the Johansen technique and time series between 1970q1 and 2010q4 the study determines whether inflation in these African countries is mainly imported (via import prices and exchange rate movements) or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010097696

Seasonal adjustment versus seasonality modelling : effect on tourism demand forecasting

Gasmi, Amira - In: Advances in management & applied economics 3 (2013) 4, pp. 119-132

-parametric approaches of seasonal adjustment. Then, we compare the forecasting performance of these methods. The empirical results militate … in favour of the TRAMO-SEATS method. In fact, this approach provides the best forecast. In terms of forecasting …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148054

Impact of external debt on economic growth : a case study of Tanzania

Kasidi, Faraji; Said, A. Makame - In: Advances in management & applied economics 3 (2013) 4, pp. 59-82

This study investigated the impact of external debt on economic growth of Tanzania for the period of 1990-2010. The study used time series data on external debt and economic performance. It is assumed that external debt helps developing countries to meet developing needs. While debt servicing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148059

La muestra de empresas en los modelos de predicción del fracaso: influencia en los resultados de clasificación

García-Gallego, Ana; Mures-Quintana, María-Jesús - In: Revista de métodos cuantitativos para la economía y … 15 (2013), pp. 131-150

This paper focuses on the development of both failure prediction models on a paired sample and a random sample of small and medium-sized firms with head offices located in the region of Castilla y León (Spain), in order to prove if the predictive power of the developed models is affected by the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010160658

Using ants to detect fraudulent financial statements

Katsis, Christos D.; Goletsis, Yorgos; Boufounou, … - In: Journal of applied finance & banking 2 (2012) 6, pp. 73-81

Fraudulent financial reporting is a matter of great social and economic concern. Managers may distort financial statements so as to present their companies more favorably to investors or creditors. On the other hand, auditors are the ones who are expected to identify fraudulent financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118423