Showing 1 - 10 of 444
Contemporary research documents various psychological aspects of economic thought and decision-making. The main goal of our study is to analyze the role of the hindsight bias (Fischhoff [20]) and the anchoring bias (Tversky and Kahneman [53]) in perceiving economic and financial information,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958463
We investigate the impact of agent communication networks on prices in an artificial stock market. Networks with different centralization measures are tested for their effect on the volatility of prices. Trading strategies diffuse through the different network topologies, mimetic contagion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010079539
It is systemic to expound how that the speculative behaviors are driven by the number of a series housing policies promulgated by China's government for the real estate market. The market is resulted in full of speculative behaviors, and has been booming since the beginning of this decade, even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010079547
We analyze expectations of the Dutch population ages 25 and older concerning future generosity of state and occupational pensions, the main pillars of the Dutch pension system. We use rotating panel data with monthly observations from 2006 until 2012 on individuals’ subjective expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010082266
theory of business coexistence between neo-classical growth models during "Peace time", and unpredicted forces and engines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958038
. The out-of-sample forecasting performance of the TVP-VAR model is evaluated against the simple VAR and ARIMA models, by …. Outof-sample results in terms of conventional forecast evaluation statistics and directional accuracy show TVP-VAR model … consistently outperforms the simple VAR and ARIMA models. -- stock prices ; exchange rates ; bivariate causality ; forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958060
This paper examines both the linear and nonlinear causal relationships between crude oil price changes and stock market returns for the United States. In particular, the study applied a battery of unit root tests to ascertain the time series properties of crude oil price changes and stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958081
This paper discusses the role that financial innovations play in the modern financial system, aiming at identifying and systematizing the core problems and definitions related to this issue. The paper first describes the importance of the financial system and financial markets in the economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009959723
The seminal work by Markowitz in 1959 introduced portfolio theory to the world. The prevailing notion since then has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010079544
This contribution studies the application of heteroskedasticity robust estimation of Vector-Autoregressive (VAR) models. VAR models have become one of the most applied models for the analysis of multivariate time series. Econometric standard software usually provides parameter estimators that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010079546