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Hierarchical aggregation/disaggregation of time series in order to make forecasts is a frequent challenge in business and econometric scenarios. This work presents a novel approach for selecting an adequate time series disaggregation level as a starting point for making forecasts. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010160663
We present the generalized hybrid averaging (GHA) operator. It is a new aggregation operator that generalizes the hybrid averaging (HA) operator by using the generalized mean. Thus, we are able to generalize a wide range of mean operators such as the HA, the hybrid geometric averaging (HGA), the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009957374
The purpose of our present study is to strike out suitable models to explain the growth pattern and to forecast for urban population in SAARC countries. Using the data from UNPD for the years 1950 to 2000 in five years interval, we fitted both exponential and ARMA models. We found the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010009053
This study investigates models for overnight interest rate volatility in Turkey and USA using the Asymmetric GARCH models and determines the best forecasting volatility models. These models are then completed with the use of out of sample forecasting. The best forecasting volatility models were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118418
Community-Based Health Insurance (CBHI) is an emerging concept for providing financial protection against the cost of illness and improving access to quality health services for low-income rural households who are excluded from formal insurance. CBHI is currently being provided in some rural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010030025
In this paper, several identities concerning expectation, variance, covariance, cumulative distribution functions, the coefficient of variation, and the Lorenz curve are obtained and they are used in establishing theoretical results. Furthermore, a graphical representation of the variance is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009957383