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The aim of this paper is to empirically investigate the in sample and out of sample forecasting performance of several GARCH-type models such as GARCH, EGARCH and APARCH model with Gaussian, student-t, Generalized error distribution (GED), student-t with fixed DOF 10 and GED with fixed parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118432
The capacity of input-output tables to reflect the structural peculiarities of an economy and to forecast, on this basis, its evolution, depends essentially on the characteristics of the matrix A—matrix of I-O (or technical) coefficients. However, the temporal behaviour of these coefficients...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010186053
markets can be very dangerous for "naive investors". Stock markets display often exploding volatility. They are characterized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010009044
Using the Stochastic Dominance (SD) approach, this paper revisits the day-of-the-week effect for a developing market, the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE). SD results provide different results independent of distribution assumptions. The results indicate that Monday and Tuesday cannot be dominated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010009094
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Using the maximum likelihood method, in order to estimate Half-Normal stochastic frontier production models, entails several practical di±culties that, perhaps, have not been su±ciently emphasised. In employing FRONTIER software, we analyse the case in which the estimation obtained suggests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009957389
In this study, a vector autoregression (VAR) model with time-varying parameters (TVP) to predict the daily Indian rupee (INR)/US dollar (USD) exchange rates for the Indian economy is developed. The method is based on characterization of the TVP as an optimal control problem. The methodology is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958060
This study examines the impact of volatility shifts on volatility persistence for three major sector indices of … volatility shifts which are determined by using iterated cumulative sums of squares (ICSS) and modified ICSS algorithms such as … Kappa-1 (ê-1) and Kappa-2 (ê-2). The results indicate that the inclusion of volatility shifts in the model substantially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958079