Theoretically commodity prices are expected to overshoot the money supply in the short run but to vary with unit proportionality in the long run. This follows from the observation that consumer prices are sticky and that commodity prices, set in auction markets are fully flexible. There is...

This paper employs a statistical approach to identify which sectors of the US economy are currently the most suitable indicators for monitoring the recovery. A comprehensive list of potential leading indicators is constructed through the application of economic theory. By applying a detailed...

The relative impacts of the monetised and non-monetised deficit on output and inflation in the United States are assessed using annual data for the 1923-1982 period. With Federal Reserve purchases of government debt serving as a measure of monetisation, the results of Granger causality tests...

A broad overview, from the Indian perspective, of the factors underlying the credit market crisis in the west, the implications of the crisis for the financial sector, lessons learnt from it, the various suggestions made at different fora for pre-empting the recurrence of such events, the Indian...

Given the assumption that the components of a vector time series are stationary about nonlinear deterministic time trends, nonlinear co-trending is the phenomenon that one or more linear combinations of the time series are stationary about a linear trend, hence the series have common nonlinear...

We examine the impact of government transfers and the business cycle on poverty in the United States in the context of a poverty function that includes the official poverty rate, three types of government transfers, real wages, the number of female-headed families, and a business cycle variable....