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Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a … are also reported on. The first shows that cointegration vector parameter estimation error is crucial when using VEC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005750247
We propose a way to test the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) without estimating the structural parameters governing the curve, i.e. price stickiness and firms' backwardness. Using this strategy we can test the NKPC avoiding the identification problems related to the GMM approach. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106406
An approach to decomposing and interpreting the inflation process is proposed. It suggests that the low U.S. inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190795
In the following study the relation between the public debt and the inflation will be analysed. The transmission from … the public debt to the inflation through the money supply and long term interest rate will be shown. Based on these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010970520
framework. Using the Johansen cointegration procedure, results indicate the existence of one cointegrating vectors at least for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259175
We investigate the inflation rate in Colombia in terms of excess money, excess demand, deviations from PPP, and wage … inflation. In contrast to previous results for a group of industrial economias, we find that domestic factors are a far more … powerful influence on inflation than are external factors. We also find evidence of non-linear price behavior in response to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005262997
of the system to one comprising inflation and relative prices. This is then estimated in I(1) space. An impulse response … on domestic inflation is moderated. This explains why the depreciation of sterling in 1992 left inflation unchanged. In … contrast, high real import prices in 1974 increased inflation because wage accommodation effects were absent. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604928
Empirical models of inflation often incorporate equilibrium correction effects based upon levels of prices and input … permanent shifts in the markup factor through estimating an inflation equation that includes a time-varying intercept. The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005812255
This paper employs cointegration and Granger causality tests to determine a relationship between the Spanish and the … German inflation for the sample period 1976:1-1999:4 employing quarterly data. The results suggest that there is a bi …-directional causality between German and Spanish inflation for the entire period as well as for the first sub-period. In the second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008515050
relationship, and 2) using inflation as an additional explanatory variable. By implementing a well structured estimation strategy …, we found that after taking the level shift into account, a cointegrating equation, including inflation, exists and is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597501