Showing 1 - 10 of 2,062
Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a … are also reported on. The first shows that cointegration vector parameter estimation error is crucial when using VEC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005750247
the naive one by a factor of 2 to 3. The relationships for inflation were successfully tested for cointegration. We have … and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109998
the price mark-up on imported and labor costs and its relation to inflation, using cointegration techniques. It is found …This paper provides evidence on price markup and inflation dynamics in Italy over the period 1970-1998. We investigate … that, despite different policy regimes across decades, the relation between the markup and inflation is remarkably stable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612139
shocks on inflation in Fiji. How the domestic inflation in a pegged exchange rate system is aligned with international price …. The multivariate cointegration tests are done after the unit root tests, and further, the Vector Error Correction (VEC … also shows that due to the exchange rate depreciation, inflation has increased for many years in Fiji. The policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212985
We investigate the inflation rate in Colombia in terms of excess money, excess demand, deviations from PPP, and wage … inflation. In contrast to previous results for a group of industrial economias, we find that domestic factors are a far more … powerful influence on inflation than are external factors. We also find evidence of non-linear price behavior in response to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005262997
The aim of this article is to assess the empirical evidence of the nexus between public expenditure and inflation for …(2) process. Moreover, a long-run relationship between the share of public expenditure and inflation is found for Cyprus … from inflation to expenditure for Cyprus, France and Spain; and of a bidirectional flow for Italy, Malta and Portugal. Some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653233
inflation. This relationship is strong in economies with high inflation, but weakens under low inflation. Based on these … findings, we study the dependence of the money-prices relationship on the level of inflation in Argentina along the last 35 … years. We use descriptive analysis as well as cointegration tests to study the long run relationship between money growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010552028
Empirical models of inflation often incorporate equilibrium correction effects based upon levels of prices and input … permanent shifts in the markup factor through estimating an inflation equation that includes a time-varying intercept. The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604884
useful information about variables such as commodity prices which matter for aggregate demand and thus inflation. Given this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636404
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, π(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … and 2004. The relationship is tested for cointegration. All three variables involved in the relationship are proved to be … integrated of order one. Two methods of cointegration testing are used. First is the Engle-Granger approach based on the unit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835964