the naive one by a factor of 2 to 3. The relationships for inflation were successfully tested for cointegration. We have … and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and …

A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, π(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … and 2004. The relationship is tested for cointegration. All three variables involved in the relationship are proved to be … integrated of order one. Two methods of cointegration testing are used. First is the Engle-Granger approach based on the unit …

Previously, a linear and lagged relationship between inflation and labor force change rate, π(t)= A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1 … (RMFSE) of 0.8% at a two-year horizon for the period between 1965 and 2002 (the best among other inflation forecasting models …) and has a perfect parsimony - only one predictor. The relationship is tested for cointegration. Both variables are …

framework, indicating demand pressure that generates inflation. The output gap is also an important variable in itself, as a … value added in predicting inflation. The multivariate measures of the output gap have by far the best predictive power. This … predicting inflation. As uncertainties are particularly pronounced at the end of the calculation periods, assessment of pressures …

framework, indicating demand pressure that generates inflation. The output gap is also an important variable in itself, as a … value added in predicting inflation. The multivariate measures of the output gap have by far the best predictive power. This … predicting inflation. As uncertainties are particularly pronounced at the end of the calculation periods, assessment of pressures …

I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …

This study adopts the long-run structural VAR approach to analyse the determinants of inflation in the Euro Area … economy over the period 1985:1- 2003:2. Theoretical relationships link inflation to markup and output gap, respectively. The … short-run dynamic properties of inflation are investigated using a structural VECM. Inflation is explained by a mixture of …

of U.S. inflation and marginal cost turns out superior to the best-fitting conventional causal VAR model in forecasting … inflation. …

The conduct of inflation targeting is heavily dependent on accurate inflation forecasts. Non-linear models have … African infl ation by means of non-linear models and using a long historical dataset of seasonally-adjusted monthly inflation …, given the fact that 1969:10 marks the beginning of a protracted rising trend in South African inflation data, we estimate …

In this paper, we study the evolution of inflation expectations for two key emerging economies, Brazil and Turkey …, using a reduced form model in a state-space framework, where the level of inflation is modeled explicitly. We match the … survey-based inflation expectations and inflation targets set by the central banks of Brazil and Turkey with the predictions …