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In this paper, we analyze the twin deficits hypothesis covering the period from 1994 to 2012 in Turkey. In contrast to previous studies on Turkey, the existence of twin deficits is investigated by regime-dependent impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263214
This paper calculates core inflation, by imposing long run restrictions on a structural vector autoregression (VAR …) model containing the growth rate of output, inflation and oil prices. Core inflation is identified as that component in … inflation that has no long run effect on output. No restrictions are placed on the response of output and inflation to the oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980844
Time series estimates of inflation persistence incur an upward bias if shifts in the inflation target of the central … bank remain unaccounted for. Using a structural time series approach we measure different sorts of inflation persistence … allowing for an unobserved timevarying inflation target. Unobserved components are identified using Kalman filtering and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005060055
Harry Johnson’s 1971 ideas about the factors affecting the success of the Keynesian Revolution and the Monetarist Counter-revolution are summarised and extended to the analysis of the Rational Expectations - New Classical (RE-NC) Revolution. It is then argued that, whereas Monetarism brought...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835365
. Whereas our methodology is general, we focus on an extended macro-model with unobservable processes for the inflation target … inflation target dominates the variation in the 'level factor' whereas monetary policy shocks dominate the variation in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136692
Bei Vorliegen nach unten starrer Nominallöhne erschwert niedrige Inflation Reallohnanpassungen und führt so … Auswirkungen bei sehr niedriger Inflation nicht zu vernachlässigen sind. Die Ergebnisse dieser Literatur sollten daher bei der … presence of downwardly rigid nominal wages, low inflation may lead to higher equilibrium unemployment by hindering real wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566472
in ERPT to CPI inflation for the Finnish economy. Within a logistic smooth transition framework, our investigations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010936534
Inflation is a fundamental category within an economy. Mainstream economists claim that its rate cannot be high nor too … Poland’s inflation target that is fixed on the level of 2,5% annually with the accepted range of +/- 1 percentage point … deviation. Main causes that were shaping the rate of real inflation were also specified. Research methods adopted in this paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273744
inflation target. The results indicate that the target rose from 1 1/4 percent in 1959 to over 8 percent in the mid-to-late 1970 … supply-side shocks into more persistent movements in inflation itself, although considerable uncertainty remains about the … true source of shifts in the inflation target. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005102657
Inflation is a fundamental category within an economy. Mainstream economists claim that its rate cannot be high nor too … Poland’s inflation target that is fixed on the level of 2,5% annually with the accepted range of +/- 1 percentage point … deviation. Main causes that were shaping the rate of real inflation were also specified. Research methods adopted in this paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010741564