Showing 1 - 10 of 647
It has been widely documented that the exchange rate pass-through to domestic inflation has decreased significantly in … macroeconomic explanation linked to the inflationary environment - that a low and more stable inflation rate leads to a decrease in … decline in the pass-through in Peru, a small open economy that gradually reduced inflation to international levels in order to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009209844
In this paper, we formulate a statistical model of inflation that combines data on survey expectations and the … inflation target set by central banks.. Our model produces inflation forecasts that are aligned with survey expectations … the inflation target set by the monetary authority to examine the effectiveness of monetary policy in forming inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168902
The objective of this paper is to assess the conditions for inflation targeting in Pakistan. The recent inflationary … surge in Pakistan calls for rethinking monetary policy afresh. This paper argues the case for inflation targeting in … Pakistan as a policy option to achieve price stability. The country experienced an inflation rate of just below 10 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010556756
The Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) has been targeting inflation for more than a decade, using Lima’s inflation as … the operational measure. An alternative indicator is countrywide inflation, whose quality and real-time availability have … improved substantially lately. Hence, given these two somehow competing measures of inflation, two interesting policy questions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010579168
In this paper, we analyze the twin deficits hypothesis covering the period from 1994 to 2012 in Turkey. In contrast to previous studies on Turkey, the existence of twin deficits is investigated by regime-dependent impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263214
Three classes of inflation models are discussed: Standard Phillips curves, New Keynesian Phillips curves and Incomplete … Competition models. Their relative merits in explaining and forecasting inflation are investigated theoretically and empirically … successful inflation forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005764088
Harry Johnson’s 1971 ideas about the factors affecting the success of the Keynesian Revolution and the Monetarist Counter-revolution are summarised and extended to the analysis of the Rational Expectations - New Classical (RE-NC) Revolution. It is then argued that, whereas Monetarism brought...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835365
the Phillips curve based on constant inflation expectations has returned for Sweden. Based on estimates of this model …-2011. This result is based on Svensson's unrealistic as well as unnecessary assumption of constant inflation expectations … anchored at the Riksbank's inflation target of 2 per cent. Data show, however, that the public's inflation expectations have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019080
income). This rate was also a NAIRU, the only rate consistent with stable inflation. It is then argued that the current … behaviour of many modern economies in which there is a credible policy to maintain a low and steady inflation rate is … noninflationary band of unemployment (a NAIBU) indicating a range of unemployment and income over with the inflation rate is stable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010701770
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relationship between the … therefore examines the empirical properties of inflation expectations data constructed on the basis of both qualitative and … provides some insights into the nature of the interaction between monetary policy and inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700546