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This article provides an interpretative overview of the papers in this special issue of JIMF devoted to international aspects of the 2007–2009 financial crisis. It then goes on to provide additional empirical evidence of two sorts. The first documents the difference between the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577044
Maravall and del Río (2001), analized the time aggregation properties of the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter, which decomposes a time series into trend and cycle, for the case of annual, quarterly, and monthly data, and showed that aggregation of the disaggregate component cannot be obtained as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022260
sector fragility, time varying stock market return volatility, sovereign debt spreads, an exchange market pressure index, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729653
Dua and Miller (1996) created leading and coincident employment indexes for the state of Connecticut, following Moore's (1981) work at the national level. The performance of the Dua-Miller indexes following the recession of the early 1990s fell short of expectations. This paper performs two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005839004
In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is used to decompose the balances of Ifo Business survey data into the cyclical, the seasonal and the irregular components, as well as the working day effect. The empirical results show that the total cycle consists of three subcycles with about 3, 5...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533705
This study examines episodes of financial stress and develops a financial stress index for the Turkish economy for the 1997–2010 period. We consider various variables that summarize different aspects of financial conditions in the economy to gauge financial stress. We construct the index and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010703090
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries not only a positive direct effect, but also … effect of volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel … a one standard deviation increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.52 percentage points in a democracy, but raises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939860
apply statistical analysis, volatility and correlations, to characterize the business cycle of fundamental variables for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009397176
volatility in more credit constrained firms. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528504
In this paper we examine the volatility of aggregate output and employment in Australia with the aid of a frequency … to output volatility in Australia which holds that there was a once and for all sustained reduction in output volatility … in or around 1984. We do not find any convincing evidence for a sustained reduction in the cyclical volatility of the GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005458636