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This paper studies inflation dynamics during 25 historical episodes in advanced economies where output remained well …, underpinned by weak labor markets, slowing wage growth, and, in many cases, falling oil prices. Indeed, inflation declined by … about the same fraction of the initial inflation rate across episodes. That said, disinflation has tended to taper off at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646423
stability, a low and stable inflation is required, an independent central bank having the means and the tools to pursue it as … opposed to governments that through its spending often trigger high inflation rates; 2. an independent central bank can signal … effective and credible inflation expectations by implementing an effective monetary policy. In our opinion, over the last twenty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008467387
increased, we find that, as of September 2002, with the exception of Japan, there is no evidence of substantial deflation risks …. We also put the estimates of deflation risk for the United States, Germany and Japan into historical perspective. We find … that only for Japan there is evidence of deflation risks that are unusually high by historical standards. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123620
Specific ideas about the Fisher relation between real and nominal interest rates and more general ideas about the nature of the central bank's duty to support the financial system in times of crisis were important to the Monetarist re-assessment of the causes of the Great Depression and what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681088
employs bivariate cointegration methodology to examine the long-term relationship between inflation index and the different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259909
Japan has the most rapidly aging population in the world. This affects growth and fiscal sustainability, but the … potential impact on inflation has been studied less. We use the IMF’s Global Integrated Fiscal and Monetary Model (GIMF) and … advanced countries as well, but we find that deflation risk from aging is not inevitable as ambitious structural reforms and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142094
This technical note examines the macroprudential policy framework in the Czech Republic. The Czech National Bank (CNB) has been actively developing its macroprudential policy framework for some time, including most recently the establishment of a separate Financial Stability Department. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244175
This Selected Issues paper examines the acceleration of inflation over the past year in Chile, identifying domestic … compares it with alternative policy rules. The paper concludes that Chile’s framework based on an explicit inflation target, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244342
The swift and decisive policy response of Korea has contributed to an impressive economic recovery from the financial turmoil. Executive Directors welcomed the well-calibrated and gradual exit strategy while aiming to achieve strong and sustainable long-term economic growth. Directors welcomed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244466
The recent global financial crisis has exposed the limitations of a conventional inflation targeting framework in … and inflation. Possible refinements to the inflation targeting framework in Korea were investigated by taking into account … business cycle fluctuations by mitigating the buildup of factors that lead to large fluctuations in output and inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244762