Showing 1 - 10 of 139
This paper finds that U.S. economic performance has not generally improved under the Federal Reserve, with the possible exception of the Great Moderation. We analyze the Fed and pre-Fed periods in terms of the rates and volatilities of inflation and real GDP growth. Comparing the pre-Fed periods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011194170
micro-based banking production, enables a contrasting characterization of the two great volatility cycles over the … historical period of 1919-2004, and enables this puzzle to be addressed more easily. The volatility divergence is explained by … the upswing in the credit volatility that kept money supply variability from translating into inflation and GDP volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666738
volatility raises inflation; (2) the Friedman hypothesis that inflation raises inflation volatility; and (3) the Black hypothesis … that output volatility raises output growth, and that output volatility reduces inflation. For Brazil, we do not find any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010616907
The paper offers a new explanation for the cause of the Great Inflation by constructing a model that explicitly separates the roles of government and monetary policymakers. A mechanism that inflation can accelerate even if an inflation target is low is uncovered. The model solves the puzzle of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124998
core inflation measures developed in this paper include weighted median, trimmed mean and volatility-based measures along … to pre-defined criteria including unbiasedness, reduced volatility, trend tracking ability and predictive ability … volatility-based core measures perform relatively better compared to permanent exclusion-based methods. The study also provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504815
This paper presents an indirect approach to investigate the possible existence of measurement error bias in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices for the UK and Italy. Our empirical results show that there is no significant evidence for a bias in the UK, nor for Italy prior to the introduction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005443619
This paper examines robust estimators of core inflation for Belgian historical CPI data, and for euro area Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices. Evidence of fat tails in the cross-sections of price changes is provided by traditional measures, as well as by a robust measure of the tail weights...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970717
This document analyzes different measures of international inflation and their influence on the domestic inflation. We found that these measurements have a statistical significant effect on the behavior of domestic inflation. Therefore the evolution of the international inflation must be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109234
We estimate the distribution of household-level inflation and show a strong and stable negative relationship between income and inflation that reflects the differences in consumption bundles along the income distribution (2010–2012). Inflation decreases as education levels increase. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011015360
This paper uses a dynamic factor model for the quarterly changes in consumption goods’ prices to separate them into three components: idiosyncratic relative-price changes, aggregate relative-price changes, and changes in the unit of account. The model identifies a measure of “pure”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067604