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In a path-breaking but largely overlooked study, published in a festchrift thirty years ago (1975), Herman Van der Wee provided a comparison of prices and real wages of building craftsmen in the regions of Antwerp and south-eastern England, from 1400 to 1700. To do so, he constructed a composite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005704755
This paper assesses the performance of the core inflation measures calculated by the Brazilian Central Bank (BCB). The evidence shows that they do not meet some key statistical criteria that a good core inflation should have: unbiasedness and the ability to forecast inflation. That performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008574264
micro-based banking production, enables a contrasting characterization of the two great volatility cycles over the … historical period of 1919-2004, and enables this puzzle to be addressed more easily. The volatility divergence is explained by … the upswing in the credit volatility that kept money supply variability from translating into inflation and GDP volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005212003
volatility raises inflation; (2) the Friedman hypothesis that inflation raises inflation volatility; and (3) the Black hypothesis … that output volatility raises output growth, and that output volatility reduces inflation. For Brazil, we do not find any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009274392
obtained for the USA is characterized by A1=4.0, A2=-0.03075, and t1=2 years. It provides a root mean square forecasting error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836346
This note responds to some issues raised by Steven Horwitz’s (EJW, September 2009) commentary on my article “Great Expectations and the End of the Depression”(AER, September 2008).
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492693
The 1950s are often pointed to as a decade in which the Federal Reserve operated a particularly successful monetary policy. The present paper examines the evolution of Federal Reserve monetary policy from the mid-1930s through the 1950s in an effort to understand better the apparent success of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784192
The 1950s are often pointed to as a decade in which the Federal Reserve operated a particularly successful monetary policy. The present paper examines the evolution of Federal Reserve monetary policy from the mid-1930s through the 1950s in an effort to understand better the apparent success of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010787050
With Laspeyres, Paasche and other authors such as Drobisch and Lehr, Germany made quite a promising start in index theory in the last decades of the 19th century. However, it soon lost ground after this period, which is described in this paper. The focus is not on biographies but on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907922
It is common for comparisons to be made of output growth and inflation across groups of countries, yet such comparisons can result in inconsistencies. We address two problems: (i) how to measure aggregate real output and inflation for groups of countries and (ii) how to construct measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261244