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We call a correspondence, defined on the set of mixed strategy proles, a generalized best reply correspondence if it (1) has a product structure, (2) is upper hemi-continuous, (3) always includes a best reply to any mixed strategy prole, and (4) is convex- and closed-valued. For each generalized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646030
We call a correspondence, defined on the set of mixed strategy profiles, a generalized best reply correspondence if it has (1) a product structure, is (2) upper semi-continuous, (3) always includes a best reply to any mixed strategy profile, and is (4) convex- and closed-valued. For each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009195601
We characterize the smallest faces of the polyhedron of strategy profiles that could possibly be made asymptotically stable under some reasonable deterministic dynamics. These faces are Kalai and Samet's (1984) persistent retracts and are spanned by Basu and Weibull's (1991) CURB sets based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852497
We report an experiment on a decision task by SAMUELSON and BAZERMAN (1985). Subjects submit a bid for an item with an unknown value. A winner’s curse phenomenon arises when subjects bid too high and make losses. Learning direction theory can account for this. However, other influences on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004989615
The paper deals with bounded rationality understood in the tradition of H.A. Simon. Fundamental problems and theoretical issues are discussed. Special emphasis is put on aspiration adaptation theory. Further remarks concern basic models of decision behavior (like learning and expectation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968210
The rational expectations hypothesis is supported if rational expectations are stable with respect to reasonable learning procedures. We consider the Stochastic Gradient-Algorithm as a boundedly rational learning procedure in an univariate ARX-Model with forecast feedback. We prove that whenever...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968237
In consectutive rounds, each agent in a finite population chooses an action, is randomly matched, obtains a payoff and then observes the performance of another agent. An agent determines future behavior based on the information she receives from the present round. She chooses among the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968295
We use an experiment to explore how subjects learn to play against computers which are programmed to follow one of a number of standard learning algorithms. The learning theories are (unbeknown to subjects) a best response process, fictitious play, imitation, reinforcement learning, and a trial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968388
In this note we study a very simple trial & error learning process in the context of a Cournot oligopoly. Without any knowledge of the payoff functions players increase, respectively decrease, their quantity by one unit as long as this leads to higher profits. We show that despite the absence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968407
We present a formal model of symmetric n-firm Cournot oligopoly with a heterogeneous population of profit optimizers and imitators. Imitators mimic the output decision of the most successful firms of the previous round a la Vega-Redondo (1997). Optimizers play myopic best response to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968446