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financial time series and use it to improve the short-term forecasts from GARCH models. We study different generalizations of … GARCH that allow for several time scales. On our holding sample, none of the considered models can fully exploit the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062571
the intraday volatility using a FIGARCH model and the intraday seasonality by the Fourier Flexible Form. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754712
Previous models of monthly CPI inflation time series have focused on possible regime shifts, non-linearities and the feature of long memory. This paper proposes a new time series model, named Adaptive ARFIMA; which appears well suited to describe inflation and potentially other economic time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972510
This paper introduces a new long memory volatility process, denoted by Adaptive FIGARCH, or A-FIGARCH, which is …. A Monte Carlo study ?nds that the A-FIGARCH model outperforms the standard FIGARCH model when structural change is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972519
long memory. This paper uses fractionally integrated GARCH (FIGARCH) to test and account for long memory. The analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407887
(ARFIMA) and fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (FIGARCH) models, mainly for … feature in FIGARCH models makes them a better candidate than other conditional heteroskedasticity models for modeling … regression technique was used for estimation of different ARFIMA models. Furthermore, different GARCH-type models were also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734732
memory in squared residuals in FIGARCH models. The investigations are performed by means of simulations FIGARCH(0, d, 0) and … FIGARCH(1, d, 1) models for selected parameters. Simulation results suggest, that estimates of the conditional variance long … between the long memory estimates of squared residuals and the fractional integration parameter d of FIGARCH model can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008777173
This paper uses sovereign CDS spread changes and their volatilities as a proxy for the informational efficiency of the sovereign markets and persistency of country risks. Specifically, we apply semi-parametric and parametric methods to the sovereign CDSs of 10 eurozone countries to test the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010984736
regression function and a fractionally integrated skedastic function.We estimate ARFIMA-GARCH and ARFIMA-FIGARCH models under two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008558660
Fractionally integrated vector autoregressive models allow to capture persistence in time series data in a very flexible way. Additional flexibility for the short memory properties of the model can be attained by using the fractional lag perator of Johansen (2008) in the vector autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010850102