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Comparisons of Chinese and Indian Energy Consumption Forecasting Models
Arora, Vipin - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
I evaluate the out-of-sample forecasting performance of five models of Chinese and Indian energy consumption. The results are mixed, but in general the auto-regressive distributed lag and unobserved components models perform the best over multiple evaluation criteria. I then use these two models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114340
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Econometric Models for Oil Price Forecasting: A Critical Survey
Frey, Giliola; Manera, Matteo; Markandya, Anil; Scarpa, … - In: CESifo Forum 10 (2009) 1, pp. 29-44
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013101
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The Real-Time Optimisation of DNO Owned Storage Devices on the LV Network for Peak Reduction
Rowe, Matthew; Yunusov, Timur; Haben, Stephen; … - In: Energies 7 (2014) 6, pp. 3537-3560
Energy storage is a potential alternative to conventional network reinforcement of the low voltage (LV) distribution network to ensure the grid’s infrastructure remains within its operating constraints. This paper presents a study on the control of such storage devices, owned by distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778846
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Autoregressive with Exogenous Variables and Neural Network Short-Term Load Forecast Models for Residential Low Voltage Distribution Networks
Bennett, Christopher; Stewart, Rodney A.; Lu, Junwei - In: Energies 7 (2014) 5, pp. 2938-2960
This paper set out to identify the significant variables which affect residential low voltage (LV) network demand and develop next day total energy use (NDTEU) and next day peak demand (NDPD) forecast models for each phase. The models were developed using both autoregressive integrated moving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011031054
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Simulation of the European Electricity Market and CCS Development with the HECTOR Model
Madlener, Reinhard; Lohwasser, Richard - Institut für Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior … - 2009
In this paper we introduce HECTOR, a new and advanced long-term electricity market model that simulates market behavior bottom-up through opportunistic, variable cost-based bidding of individual power plants into auction-based national markets with international interconnection capacities....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008487662
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Money-based Inflation Risk Indicator: A Regime Switching Model
Deryugina, E.; A. Ponomarenko. - In: VOPROSY ECONOMIKI 9 (2013)
We examine the relationship between probability of large fluctuations of inflation rate and monetary developments. With this purpose we identify the periods of high inflation regime for the cross-section of 15 transition economies. The obtained results are used to estimate the panel probit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860810
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Partially Unforeseen Events. Corrections and Correcting Formulae for Forecasts
HARIN, Alexander - In: Expert Journal of Economics 2 (2014) 2, pp. 69-79
A hypothesis of uncertain future was created and first applied in the field of utility and prospect theories. An extension of application of the hypothesis to the field of forecasting is considered in the article. The concept of inevitability of unforeseen events is a part of the hypothesis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903778
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A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - Center for Financial Studies - 2014
alternatives and more economically plausible. We discuss implications of our analysis for the estimation of economic models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958503
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Estimating Output Gap and Potential Output for Russia and Its Usefulness by Forecasting Inflation
Kloudova, Dana - In: International Journal of Economic Sciences 4 (2015) 1, pp. 45-59
This paper deals with an estimation of output gap and potential output for Russian’s economy. Three methods of … estimation have been used for estimating these two unobservable variables: Hodrick-Prescott filter, production function and SVAR … model. All methods of estimation showed very similar course, although obtained values were not identical. Then obtained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011209928
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Estimating Output Gap and Potential Output for Russia and Its Uselfulness by Forecasting Inflation
Dana, Kloudová - International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences - 2014
This paper deals with an estimation of output gap and potential output for Russian´s economy. Three methods of … estimation have been used for estimating these two unobservable variables: Hodrick-Prescott filter, production function and SVAR … model. All methods of estimation showed very similar course, although an obtained values were not identical. Then obtained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011210378