Forecasting real economic activity poses a considerable challenge not only due to hard-to-predict events like the current financial crisis but also due to the fact that targeted variables often undergo significant revisions after their first publication. In this paper we report the results of a...

Typically, laboratory experiments suffer from homogeneous subject pools and self-selection biases. The usefulness of survey data is limited by measurement error and by the questionability of their behavioural relevance. Here we present a method integrating interactive experiments and...

At the FIFA World Cup 2006, the method of using the market value of the teams (“transfer value”) was first proposed as a simple and transparent basis for forecasting the outcome of a major football tournament. Indeed, the countries with players of the highest market value were world...

Der Ausgangspunkt unserer Analyse ist der Rat der Enquete-Kommission "Wachstum, Wohlstand, Lebensqualität" des Deutschen Bundestags, "das bestehende Berichts- und Sachverständigenwesen der Bundesregierung im Wege einer Evaluierung auf Redundanzen und Verbesserungsmöglichkeiten hin zu...

Der Beitrag ordnet die Bereitstellung von Forschungsinfrastruktur in den Sozial- , Verhaltens- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften in die Möglichkeiten und Grenzen einer forschungsbasierten Evaluation und Beratung von Politik ein. Entsprechend werden einige Hinweise für die Weiterentwicklung der...

Typically, laboratory experiments suffer from homogeneous subject pools and selfselection biases. The usefulness of survey data is limited by measurement error and by the questionability of their behavioral relevance. Here we present a method integrating interactive experiments and...

Historically, football experts' predictions were the only method of predicting the outcomes of championships. Former players, coaches, and nearly all fans have tried their hand at it. And most of these predictions were wrong, since subjective desires and prevailing public opinions always played...

Die hier vorgestellten Projektergebnisse wurden im Rahmen des Projekts EDaWaX (European Data Watch Extended, www.edawax.de) erarbeitet. EDaWaX wird von der Deutschen Forschungsgemeinschaft (www.dfg.de) gefördert. Institutionell beteiligt sind an diesem Projekt der Rat für Sozial- und...

This paper summarizes the findings of an analysis among scientific infrastructure service providers. These service providers have been evaluated in regard to their potential services for the management of publication-related research data. By conducting a desk research and an online survey, we...