Mit dem seit 2013 gültigen Fiskalpakt und seiner Umsetzung hat die Politik in der EU wesentliche Forderungen der ideologischen Hauptgegner des Europäischen Sozialmodells, der "Schule von Chicago", übernommen. Erstens wird mit dem Pakt die Fiskalpolitik noch enger an Regeln gebunden,...

The deepening of the debt crisis in the euro area is due to three systemic causes which national governments are not able to overcome on their own. First, being members of a monetary union euro states cannot dampen or even reverse the rise in public debt through devaluations. At the same time,...

The forecast is based on the following assumptions about the evolution of important variables until 2013: As a consequence of the depreciation of their financial wealth and real property the savings ratio of the US households will increase from 2 percent in 2008 to 6 percent in 2013. The key...

In the period from 1991 to 1995 U. S. interest rates and the value of the dollar are expected to stabilize at the lowest level recorded over the last 25 years; prices of crude oil will exceed the average level of 1985 to 1990 by some 50 percent, but the rise in prices of other raw materials will...

Since 1997, prospects for growth have markedly deteriorated as a consequence of the economic crises in Eastern Asia and Russia, the recession in Japan and the looming financial crisis in Latin America. The chief causes that these four factors share is instability of financial markets in general...