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techniques to present the first comprehensive set of probabilistic population forecasts for Australia. We stress the …
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In der vorliegenden Studie erfolgt eine regionale Analyse der Wettbewerbsfähigkeit der Milch-produktion in Australien … viertgrößter Exporteur auf dem Weltmarkt gehört auch Australien zu diesen Regionen. Von 2000/01 bis 2009/10 ging die … common agricultural policy gets liberalised. As fourth biggest exporter of dairy products on the world market, also Australia …
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In this paper, we illustrate the application of Bayesian time series models to obtain future population estimates with uncertainty. The focus is on a simple projection model with the historical data representing population change in England and Wales from 1841 to 2007. The Bayesian forecasts to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851063
The paper is devoted to the natural population change forecast in Latvia for the time horizon until 2030. The motivation for this paper is twofold. First, population ageing is an obvious problem for the whole EU with a tendency to worsen in the future. Second, historical population data have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010944604
Previous studies have demonstrated both large efficiency gains and reductions in bias by incorporating population information in regression estimation with sample survey data. These studies, however, assume the population values are exact. This assumption is relaxed here through a Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005545542
In Sanderson and Scherbov (2005) we introduced a new forward-looking definition of age and argued that its use, along with the traditional backward-looking concept of age, provides a more informative basis upon which to discuss population aging. Age is a measure of how many years a person has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700080