We derive the asymptotics of the OLS estimator for a purely autoregressive spatial model. Only low-level conditions are used. As the sample size increases, the spatial matrix is assumed to approach a square-integrable function on the square $(0,1)^2$. The asymptotic distribution is a ratio of...

The recent financial crisis has raised numerous questions about the accuracy of value-at-risk (VaR) as a tool to quantify extreme losses. In this paper we develop data-driven VaR approaches that are based on the principle of optimal combination and that provide robust and precise VaR forecasts...

We present a control problem for an electrical vehicle. Its motor can be operated in two discrete modes, leading either to acceleration and energy consumption, or to a recharging of the battery. Mathematically, this leads to a mixed-integer optimal control problem (MIOCP) with a discrete...

We use the expectation of the range of an arithmetic Brownian motion and the method of moments on the daily high, low, opening, and closing prices to estimate the volatility of the stock price. This novel theoretical approach results in an estimator that is genuinely range-based on daily...

It is often argued that informal labor markets in developing countries promote growth by reducing the impact of regulation. On the other hand informality may reduce the amount of social protection offered to workers. We extend the wage-posting framework of Burdett and Mortensen (1998) to allow...

We continue presenting recent achievements in econometrics not yet widely known to a Russian reader. The generalized method of moments (GMM) was introduced to econometrical research by L. Hansen in his seminal paper in 1982. The GMM is a result of unifying two main approaches to estimating model...

This paper assumes a structural credit model with underlying stochastic volatility combining the Black/Cox approach with the Heston model. We model the equity of a company as a barrier call option on its assets. The assets are assumed to follow a stochastic volatility process; this implies an...

This paper develops an instrumental variable (IV) estimator for consistent estimation of dynamic panel data models with error cross-sectional dependence when both N and T, the cross-section and time series dimensions respectively, are large. Our approach asymptotically projects out the common...

We propose a simple and flexible framework for forecasting the joint density of asset returns. The multinormal distribution is augmented with a polynomial in (time-varying) non-central co-moments of assets. We estimate the coefficients of the polynomial via the Method of Moments for a carefully...

In this paper we estimated the traditional cross-country growth model and corrected for model endogeneity bias and country-specific hetereogeneity effects. Using the System-IV Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach, we identified the key factors that determine GDP per capita growth rate in...