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Seit dem Einbruch der Aktienmärkte Anfang 2000 hat die Fed durch massive Liquiditätszufuhr versucht, die amerikanische Wirtschaft zu stabilisieren. Ein wesentliches Motiv war die Befürchtung, die amerikanische Wirtschaft könne in eine Liquiditätsfalle geraten. Motiviert von der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005047003
This paper examines the daily volatility of changes in the 10-year Treasury note utilizing the iterated cumulative sums … variance, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 89 (1994) 913–923]. The ICSS algorithm can detect regime shifts in the volatility of the interest … forces the variance to follow the same process throughout the sample period. A comparison of the out-of-sample volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873090
between the determinants of inflation and its volatility by using monthly data for 1990:M1-2007:M5. The determinants of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905764
collect the statistical behavior and discuss the volatility of the series. We then analyze the evidence for the existence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051794
It can be observed that the volatility of high frequency time series (daily and higher frequency) has in certain time … periods different level. The classical time series linear modelling methodology is based on condition of constant volatility … intervention from one time series to another, the level of their volatility plays very important role. It is empirically analyzed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005052017
asset pricing framework. The dependence between price movements and future volatility is introduced through a set of latent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005486770
In order to analyse the interest rate transmission mechanism, we study daily Euro-rates term structure for the US, Germany, and the UK between 1983 and 1997. We estimate multivariate VECM-GARCH models, which takes into account most of the usual feaures of financial data (non-stationarity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005487060
a proportionality constant which is comparable to the spot rate volatility. This suggests that forward rate market … volatility `hump' around one year found by several authors (and which we confirm). Finally, the number of independent components …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413172
Connection between interest rate and foreign exchange is important because of the economic volatility of the two … aims to establish a series of characteristics regarding the impact of interest rate in exchange rate volatility. This kind …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833281
The paper presents and estimates a model of the prices of oil and other storable commodities, a model that can be characterized as reflecting the carry trade. It focuses on speculative factors, here defined as the trade-off between interest rates on the one hand and market participants'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048451