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Forecast for the European Economy
Leibfritz, Willi - In: CESifo Forum 2 (2001) 1, pp. 21-27
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013096
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How to Define a Recession?
Abberger, Klaus; Nierhaus, Wolfgang - In: CESifo Forum 9 (2008) 4, pp. 74-76
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013136
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THE U.S., ECONOMY: RECESSION AHEAD? Contra: Economy Rebounding
Fosler, Gail - In: CESifo Forum 2 (2001) 1, pp. 29-30
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013138
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THE U.S., ECONOMY: RECESSION AHEAD? Pro: Weakness Will Persist
Dudley, William - In: CESifo Forum 2 (2001) 1, pp. 28-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013174
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The Outlook for the U.S. Economy: Soft or Hard Landing?
Bosworth, Barry - In: CESifo Forum 2 (2001) 1, pp. 14-20
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013183
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Do probit models help in forecasting turning points of German business cycles?
Fritsche, Ulrich - EconWPA - 2001
In this paper we used a data set constructed for a companion paper (Fritsche/Stephan, 2000) where we explored the leading indicator properties of different time series for the German business cycle. Now we test for the ability of different indicator series to forecast recessions by using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076772
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Real wages and the business cycle in Germany
Marczak, Martyna; Beissinger, Thomas - Forschungszentrum Innovation und Dienstleistung, … - 2010
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008695026
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Working Paper 137
Schneider, Martin; Fenz, Gerhard - Oesterreichische Nationalbank - 2008
This paper analyses the comovement of the German and Austrian economies and the transmission of German shocks to Austria. Static and dynamic correlation measures show a strong comovement and a change of the relative position in time of these two economies. The transmission of German shocks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727746
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Business Cycle Volatility in Germany
Buch, Claudia M.; Doepke, Joerg; Pierdzioch, Christian - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2002
structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the … in Germany reflects good economic and monetary policy or merely ‘good luckÂ’. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755211
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Interactive expectations
Foster, John; Flieth, Burkhard - In: Journal of Evolutionary Economics 12 (2002) 4, pp. 375-395
In modeling expectation formation, economic agents are usually viewed as forming expectations adaptively or in accordance with some rationality postulate. We offer an alternative nonlinear model where agents exchange their opinions and information with each other. Such a model yields multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005760539