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The signs of forecast errors can be predicted using the difference between individuals' forecasts and the average of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005450626
werden. Die Prognose der Veränderungen auf regionaler Ebene zeigt, dass auch in einem baden-württembergischen Gunststandort … the milk quota regulation. The forecast shows that even in a favoured region for milk production, the overall output of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142854
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998700
Der Bericht stellt den Wirtschaftsnobelpreis 1995 für Robert E. Lucas zur Diskussion. Dabei wird die Entwicklung der Forschungsinhalte des Preisträgers gewürdigt. Bekanntgeworden ist Robert Lucas in den siebziger Jahren neben der Übertragung der rationalen Erwartungen auf die Makroökonomik...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037085
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
This paper analyses conditions for rationalizability of rational expectations equilibria of asset market models with asymmetric information and learning from current prices. In such models, traders are asymmetrically informed about the liquidation value of an asset. However, they take into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005823311
This paper formulates dynamic R&D investment decisions of private firms as an optimal stochastic control problem. It derives explicitly R&D investment decision rule and the cross equations parameter restrictions imposed by the rational expectations hypothesis, using the Riccati equations only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824220
This short survey discusses recent findings on the robustness of Nash equilibria of strategic games with many semianonymous players. It describes the notion of structural robustness and its general consequences, as well as implications to particular games, such as ones played on the web and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824373
An important aim of this paper is to take shifts in the long-term anchor in the empirical specifications. The study examines exchange-rate pass-through and external adjustment in the euro area. The impact on third-country trade and investment is also discussed. A better understanding of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824959
This Selected Issues paper for Iceland reports that it faces a considerably less favorable inflation-output variability trade-off than do Canada or the United States. A number of measures should be considered that could help minimize the cost of inflation breaching the tolerance band and help to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825421