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Demographic Transition in the Middle East; Implications for Growth, Employment, and Housing
Bhattacharya, Rina; Yousef, Tarik; Dhonte, Pierre - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
The working age population is expected to grow faster in the Middle East than in any other region in the world between now and 2015—rising annually by 2.7 percent, or 10 million people. This demographic explosion presents the region with a major challenge in terms of providing jobs, incomes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264176
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The Demographic Dividend; Evidence From the Indian States
Mody, Ashoka; Aiyar, Shekhar - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
Large cohorts of young adults are poised to add to the working-age population of developing economies. Despite much interest in the consequent growth dividend, the size and circumstances of the potential gains remain under-explored. This study makes progress by focusing on India, which will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876597
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Demographic Change, Social Security Systems, and Savings
Bloom, David; Canning, David; Mansfield, Rick; Moore, … - 2006
little effect on savings rates. In many countries, however, retirement incentives in social security programs prevent … retirement age from keeping pace with changes in life expectancy, leading to an increased need for life-cycle savings. Analyzing … a cross-country panel of macroeconomic data, we find that increased longevity raises aggregate savings rates in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550403
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Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century
Cheng, Kevin C. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
This study assesses the economic implications of China's changing population in the 21st century using a numerical general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility rates reduce the future supply of labor, capital will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825867
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The Global Impact of Demographic Change
Callen, Tim; McKibbin, Warwick J.; Batini, Nicoletta - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
The world is in the midst of a major demographic transition. This paper examines the implications of such transition over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world using a dynamic intertemporal general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826038
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Demographic Change in Asia; The Impacton Optimal National Saving, Investment, and the Current Account
McDonald, Ian; Bésanger, Serge; Guest, Ross - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
This paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving, investment, and the current account balance for five Asian economies—Hong Kong SAR, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines—for the period 1997–2050 using a simulation approach. These calculations show the sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826103
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Population Aging in Japan; Demographic Shock and Fiscal Sustainability
Mühleisen, Martin; Faruqee, Hamid - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2001
The paper develops a general equilibrium framework to examine the economic implications of population aging in Japan. Particular attention is paid to aggregate saving behavior which is modeled on the basis of empirical age-earnings profiles using a life-cycle approach. The paper's objectives are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769220
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Institutional Incentives for Early Retirement in the EU Member States
Fenge, Robert - In: CESifo Forum 2 (2001) 4, pp. 58-61
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998575
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Future Prospects for Notional Defined Contribution Schemes
Williamson, John B. - In: CESifo Forum 2 (2001) 4, pp. 19-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998701
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Europe: Is There an Aging Crisis or is it a Public Pension Problem?
Disney, Richard - In: CESifo Forum 2 (2001) 4, pp. 25-30
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005010163