This paper attempts to reconcile all inferentia1 methods which by maximizing a criterion functiona1 produce non- informative and informative priors. In particular, Good's (1968) Minimax Evidence Priors, MEP, Zellner's (1971) Maximal Data Information Priors, MDIP, and Bernardo's (1979) Reference...

Almost since its appearance, the Kalman Filter (KF) has been successfully used in control engineering. Unfortunately, most of its important results have been published in engineering journals with language, notation and style proper of engineers. In this paper, we want to present the KF in an...

This article by Enrique de Alba and Manuel Mendoza extends Foresight’s previous coverage of methods for forecasting seasonal data when the historical series is short (less than 2-3 years of data). The authors describe and illustrate a Bayesian method for seasonal data and show that it can...

Consider a random sample X1, X2,…, Xn, from a normal population with unknown mean and standard deviation. Only the sample size, mean and range are recorded and it is necessary to estimate the unknown population mean and standard deviation. In this paper the estimation of the mean and standard...

This research conducts a review of theoretical and practical developments of Markov processes in the specialized literature, highlighting their recent advances and showing their potential for their technical goodness, in modeling the decision making processes of rational agents adding more...

In this paper the methodology of real options is presented as an imperative tool for the board of directors of a firm for the decision making process on the financial assessment of projects or business strategies when there is flexibility (optionality) of making, in the future, new decisions...

The aim of this paper is to show the convenience of using mathematical tools from quantum mechanics to solve some financial problems. In particular, the Vasicek short-rate model in continuous time is discussed in the framework of the Feynman path integral. To do this, the Lagrangian of the...

This paper carries out an analysis of cointegration between economic growth and the dynamics of the flows of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) in Mexico. Empirical evidence shows, through a VAR model and Granger causality tests, that flows coming from the FPI have no significant effect on the...

This paper carries out an exploration of how the Mexican Bank Central conducted its monetary policy during the crisis 2007-2009 based on the analytical framework of the neoclassical macroeconomics. It is shown that in that period it was followed a countercyclical policy to reduce the crisis...