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mathematical tool was also used to explain the international convergence of cycles. I argue that the theory of investment cycles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005187273
Inventory fluctuations play an important role in the formation of business cycles. In Germany, little research has been dedicated to this topic recently. In this study, a structural time series model in the tradition of Harvey (1989) is employed to decompose German inventory investment into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005070498
This article studies inventories and monetary policy by estimating VAR models. The complex roots detected in our estimation generate cycles of around 55 to 70 months, which are quite close to actual business cycle lengths. This implies that production and inventories follow damped oscillations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635142
The present paper provides a substantial re-conceptualization of the serial clearing of the product market on the basis of structural axioms. This change of premises is required simply because from the accustomed premises only the accustomed conclusions can be derived and these are known to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259782
The paper considers the problem of autonomous recessions in the Russian economy, which are explained as a drop of the output caused by endogenous shocks of the supply and/or demand. In order to determine possible factors of the autonomous recession we consider the stylized facts and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011007773
At the end of 2008, a massive and worldwide drawdown of inventories contributed to the strong contraction in international trade and activity. This movement was no doubt exacerbated by the financial constraints on companies and the transmission of the shock along globalised production chains....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276942
The paper presents an analysis of the efficiency of inventory management in feed enterprises in groups of inventories and cross-sized enterprises. Resources to realize objective pursued originated from the financial statements 55 feed production plant operating in Poland in 2005-2011. The study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011275957
Recently, the export performance of France relative to its own past and relative to a major trading partner, Germany, deteriorated. That deterioration seems related to the geographical destination and product composition of trend exports. Faced with an increase in unit labor costs or in its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769088
This paper analyses the synchronization of business cycles between new and old EU members using various measures. The main findings are that Hungary, Poland and Slovenia have achieved a high degree of synchronization for GDP, industry and exports, but not for consumption and services. The other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792241
This paper studies the changes in world business cycles during 1960-2003. We employ a Bayesian dynamic latent factor model to estimate common and country-specific components in the main macroeconomic aggregates of the Group of Seven (G-7) countries. We then quantify the relative importance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825664