Showing 1 - 10 of 7,264
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth,? describing the … expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our empirical analysis suggests that this Phillips curve may be … reasonably flat. We show that the persistence of inflation and unemployment, in response to monetary policy shocks, is related to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008520206
usually interpreted as the unemployment that is consistent with a constant inflation rate in the long run. This unemployment … detailed examination of the empirical studies shows the low robustness and inconsistency of the estimation results. Therefore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005176945
Arguably, of the many pioneering classics authored by Milton Friedman, it is his Presidential Address to the American Economic Association, in December, 1967, published as The Role of Monetary Policy in the AEA, in March, 1968, that may have had the greatest impact in serious policy circles. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010941823
inflation or the unemployment rate. However, the structure of the U.S. economy has evolved considerably over the postwar period …, with an apparent reduction in the late 1980s in the impact of monetary policy shocks on inflation, though not on the … unemployment rate. Related, we find changes in the Phillips Curve tradeoff between inflation and cyclical unemployment (measured as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754533
We consider a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility and mixture innovations to study the empirical relevance of the Lucas critique for the postwar U.S. economy. The model allows blocks of parameters to change at endogenously-estimated points of time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667888
width of the 95% confidence interval, performs better in an out-of-sample inflation forecasting exercise, and is more robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963765
; mainly in the concerning to the tradeoff’s vision between the product and inflation originally postulated by Robert Lucas Jr …. For such effect, a historical recount of the ideas is made regarding the relationship inflation-unemployment until the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509685
In this paper I evaluate the theoretical consistency of Friedman.s Phillips curve. For this, I review his own exposition in the subject, making emphasis in his contributions to the short-run analysis of unemployment, wages and prices in front of the classical theory and Keynes.s .General...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464636
inflation or the unemployment rate. However, the structure of the U.S. economy has evolved considerably over the postwar period …, with an apparent reduction in the late 1980s in the impact of monetary policy shocks on inflation, though not on the … unemployment rate. Related, we find changes in the Phillips curve tradeoff between inflation and cyclical unemployment (measured as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051959
downward pressure on wage inflation has regained significant traction recently. This paper investigates whether the conclusion … that long-term unemployment is only weakly related to inflation depends on the assumption of linearity in the Phillips … curve. Specifically, once convexity is allowed for during the estimation process, long-term unemployment appears to have a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011102930