While global rebalancing will mainly involve structural realignment among major advanced and emerging market economies, it could have significant impact on low-income countries (LICs). Simulations using a global general equilibrium model show that a more balanced global economy would tend to...

In most macroeconomic models, the substitutability between domestic and foreign goods is calibrated using aggregated data. This imposes homogeneous elasticities across goods, and the calibration is only valid under this assumption. If elasticities are heterogeneous, the aggregate...

Elasticities of import demand and supply often drive economic models, but few empirical estimates of these elasticities exist for vegetables and fruits. For those that do exist, most are outdated. Because elasticities change over time as income, prices, and market conditions change, outdated...

In 2010, Libya's red meat supply stood at about 77 thousand tonnes, about 25 percent was imported. Given the insufficient levels of domestic red meat production, the government mainly relies on imported red meat to fill the gap. The objective of this study is to examine factors affecting import...

In this study, we are concern with incorporating risk factors into the Almost Ideal Demand System model. In the modified model, the risk factors affect trade response to price changes (the indirect effect) and the reallocation of the import expenditure (the direct effect). This specification can...

The Houthakker-Magee effect implies that a country facing unfavorable income elasticities in trade must either grow at a slower rate than its trading partners or experience a trend worsening of its current account and/or depreciation of its real exchange rate. Krugman (1989) first documented the...

Time series data for Sri Lanka span periods of pervasive trade and exchange restrictions along with periods of liberalized trade. This paper implements a structural econometric model of aggregate imports which incorporates the implications of the shifts in the policy regime. The results...