Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of...

This paper applies the Nakagami-m distribution for the derivation of unit hydrograph (UH). The applicability of this distribution was verified using the data from 13 watersheds and results were compared with other distributions, viz., Gamma (GM), Beta, normal (NL), log-normal (LN), Weibull (WB),...

We have studied the statistical mechanics of money circulation in a closed economic system. An explicit statistical formulation of the circulation velocity of money is presented for the first time by introducing the concept of holding time of money. The result indicates that the velocity is...

This paper deals with a current status of the forestry appointment land in the Poltava region. It has been found, that the improvement of the economic indicators of the land use is only possible through intensification under condition of maintaining the balanced development.

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyze volatility transmission between the Japanese stock and foreign exchange markets. Design/methodology/approach – In contrast to the existing literature, industry-level stock data are applied to a trivariate Baba, Engle, Kraft and...

Purpose – The aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between weather (temperature) and stock market returns using daily data from Portugal; also, to examine whether the temperature is driven by calendar-related anomalies such as the January and trading month effects....

In this paper, we focus on the statistical features and time correlation of runs which is defined as a sequence of consecutive gain/loss (rise/fall) stock returns. By studying daily data of the Dow Jones industrial average (DJIA), we get the following points: firstly, the distribution of length...

This paper provides a selective overview of nonlinear exchange rate models recently proposed in the literature and assesses their contribution to understanding exchange rate behavior. Two key questions are examined. The first question is whether nonlinear autoregressive models of real exchange...

The paper shows how-in a Merton-type model with bankruptcy-the currency composition of debt changes the risk profile of a company raising a given amount of financing, and thus affects the cost of debt. Foreign currency borrowing is cheaper when the exchange rate is positively correlated with the...

Purpose – The majority of quality control charts are employed for normally distributed data. In reality this assumption is not always valid. This paper aims to consider an alternative the truncated normal. Design/methodology/approach – Having derived integral equations for the average run...