Mit einem Markov-Switching-Modell können die monatlichen Veränderungen des ifo Geschäftsklimas in Wahrscheinlichkeiten für die beiden konjunkturellen Regime »Expansion« bzw. «Kontraktion« umgesetzt werden. Diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten – abgebildet in der ifo Konjunkturampel – liefern...

ILO pub. Feasibility study on the design of an econometric model for assessment of economic growth and population dynamics in Indonesia - describes a modular approach to modelling based on EDP simulation techniques, discusses plan implementation and submodels regarding projections of economic...

ILO pub-WEP pub. Working paper on rural area poverty trends in Central America - summarizes findings of six case studies; looks at agricultural incomes, wages, and other poverty-linked economic indicators; examines impact of the export-oriented pattern of economic growth, particularly on small...

ILO pub-WEP pub. Working paper on the need for community local level data collecting in surveys of internal migration in developing countries - outlines reasons to use community variables and issues in model formulations, presents comparison of community definitions, and describes types of...

In a series of recent IMF papers, Bernal-Verdugo, Furceri and Guillaume (2012a,2012b), Crivelli, Furceri and Toujas-Bernaté (2012), and Furceri (2012) report finding strong evidence that more flexible labour markets are negatively associated with unemployment and positively associated with...

ILO pub-WEP pub-PREALC pub. Working paper, econometric model for the measurement of poverty and basic needs, partic. In Latin America - considers absolute vs. Relative deprivation and attitudes and consumer behaviour associated with low income; discusses income distribution, gross national...

ILO pub-WEP pub-PREALC pub. Working paper on an input output economic model for basic needs development planning in Ecuador in 1975 and 1980 - examines social indicators and economic indicator such as food consumption, clothing, housing needs, etc.; compares employment creation in the...