Showing 1 - 10 of 160
We show that the power of the KPSS-test against integration, as measured by divergence rates of the test statistic under the alternative, remains the same when residuals from an OLS-regression rather than true observations are used. This is in stark contrast to residual based tests of the null...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216912
We show that the power of the KPSS-test against integration, as measured by divergence rates of the test statistic under the alternative, remains the same when residuals from an OLS-regression rather than true observations are used. The divergence rate is independent of the order of integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405296
We derive the limiting null distributions of the standard and OLS based CUSUM-tests for structural change of the coecients of a linear regression model in the context of long memory disturbances. We show that both tests behave fundamentally different in a long memory environment, as compared to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010982314
The paper discusses structural change as possible mechanism that generates the appearance of long memory in economic time series. It shows that there are no long memory effects in German stock returns and that long memory in squares of German stock returns disappears once shifting means are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010982407
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005167202
This article takes issue with a recent book by Ziliak and McCloskey (2008) of the same title. Ziliak and McCloskey argue that statistical significance testing is a barrier rather than a booster for empirical research in many fields and should therefore be abandoned altogether. The present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727285
We decompose the generalized Lorenz order into a size and a distribution component. The former is represented by stochastic dominance, the latter by the standard Lorenz order. We show that it is always possible, given generalized Lorenz dominance between two distributions F and G, to find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766062
We consider 1927 borrowers from 54 countries who had a credit rating by both Moody's and S&P at the end of 1998, and their subsequent default history up to the end of 2002. Viewing bond ratings as predicted probabilities of default, we consider partial orderings among competing probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181478
We investigate the impact of the 20 largest – in terms of insured losses – man-made or natural disasters on various insurance industry stock indices. We show via an event study that insurance sectors worldwide are quite resilient, in a market–value sense, to unexpected losses to capital:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181507
The paper considers the Markov-Switching GARCH(1,1)-model with time-varying transition probabilities. It derives sufficient conditions for the square of the process to display long memory and provides some additional intuition for the empirical observation that estimated GARCH-parameters often...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406028