Die Entwicklung der Aktienkurse hängt stark von den Gewinnaussichten der börsennotierten Unternehmen ab. Die Ergebnisse des ifo Konjunkturtests eignen sich erwiesenermaßen sehr gut zur Vorausschätzung der Absatz- und Ertragsentwicklung. Es bietet sich daher an, die erprobten...

Parallel zu der Abwertung des Yen von November 1988 (120,67 Y/$) bis April 1990 (160,35 Y/$), fielen die Aktienkurse an der Börse von Tokyo. Die Bank von Japan hat in dieser Zeit durch fünf Diskontsatzerhöhungen den japanischen Zins dem internationalen Niveau angenähert. Der sogenannte...

Various indicators place Cyprus’s banking system soundness ahead of emerging countries but behind advanced economies. This report discusses financial sector stability in Cyprus, using a combination of accounting-based and market-based indicators, and stress tests. Cypriot commercial banks...

This paper surveys the foreign exchange markets, money and secondary government security markets, and stock exchanges in 107 smaller economy countries. The underdevelopment of these markets impedes risk transfer, monetary policy, corporate financing, and the capacity to absorb capital inflows....

The paper has three objectives. After a general introduction to some of the concepts and basic techniques of stress testing, the paper gives an overview of some of the conceptual issues involved in evaluating risks at the aggregated level of financial systems. Second, this study provides a basic...

The paper examines the scope for cross-border spillovers among major EU banks using information contained in the stock prices and financial statements of these banks. The results suggest that spillovers within domestic banking systems generally remain more likely, but the number of significant...

We analyze the capital controls imposed in Malaysia in September 1998. In macroeconomic terms, these controls neither yielded major benefits nor were costly. At the same time, the stock market interpreted the capital controls (and associated events) as favoring firms with stronger political...

We analyze the performance of the Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) and its integration with other markets. Using cointegration techniques, we find that the ASE and other Arab stock markets are cointegrated, which implies little long-run risk diversification. However, there is no cointegrating...