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Inflation management is one of the hardest tasks an economic policymaker has to undertake. It appears, at first sight …, that one can rely entirely on commonsense to carry out this task. But that will be a cardinal mistake. While inflation … understanding of economic theory. This paper tries to bring together the formal analytics that underlie inflation policy. It surveys …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321466
Monetary policy in the euro area is conducted within a multicountry, multicultural, and multilingual context involving multiple central banking traditions. How does this heterogeneity affect the ability of economic agents to understand and to anticipate monetary policy by the European Central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825754
How should a central bank organize itself to produce the best possible inflation forecast? This paper discusses … elements for building a comprehensive platform for an inflation forecasting framework. It describes the exercise of forecasting … inflation as a production process, which induces a strict discipline concerning data management, information gathering, the use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826419
This is the third chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled "On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes …: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say." It examines a number of elements in the design of an inflation …-targeting framework. These include the definition of the target variable, the relevance of core measures of inflation, and the advantages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999952
Since 1998, the staff of the International Monetary Fund has published a classification of countries' de facto exchange rate arrangements. Experience in operating this classification system has highlighted a need for changes. The present paper provides information on revisions to the system in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559262
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998681
Im August übertraf der Anstieg der Verbraucherpreise in Deutschland mit 2,1% erstmals seit 31 Monaten wieder die 2%-Marke (Westdeutschland: 2,0%; Ostdeutschland: 2,4%). In Westdeutschland ist die Rate im September nach vorläufigen Schätzungen des Statistischen Bundesamtes zwar wieder auf 1,8%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005055746
gereicht hätte, um die Inflationsrisiken zu begrenzen. Statt mit Augenmaß die Inflation in Schach zu halten, droht die EZB mit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005055985
regression models and provide a discussion of the impact on the formation of inflation expectations in the presence of multiple … and recurrent changes in inflation regimes. Our empirical findings give a plausible explanation as to why the rational …-expectations hypothesis based on direct measures of inflation expectations from survey series is typically rejected because of large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005246292
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010538830