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Previsão da eficácia ofensiva do futebol profissional: Um caso Português
Caiado, Jorge; Vieira, Aníbal; Bonito, Ana; Reis, Carlos; … - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
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Modeling electricity loads in California: ARMA models with hyperbolic noise
Nowicka-Zagrajek, Joanna; Weron, Rafal - Hugo Steinhaus Center for Stochastic Methods, … - 2002
In this paper we address the issue of modeling and forecasting electricity loads. We apply a two-step procedure to a series of system-wide loads from the California power market. First, we remove the weekly and annual seasonalities. Then, after analyzing properties of the deseasonalized data we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003632
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International structural change in the steel industry: a north- South perspective.
B, Keeling - International Labour Organization (ILO), United Nations - 1990
Covers trends since the mid-1970s and includes forecasts to 1995.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010965927
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The interest rate spread as a forecasting tool of greek industrial production
Gogas, Periklis; Pragkidis, Ioannis - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
variables: the Greek unemployment rate and the FTSE-100 stock index returns. The methodology employed in the effort to forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470478
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Посткризисные тенденции развития российской экономики
Raiskaya, Наталия Николаевна Райская - Institute of Economics, Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS)
trends of the Russian economy development in 2011 and provides the forecast of the main macroeconomic indicators for 2012 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011026395
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Energy Consumption, Survey Data and the Prediction of Industrial Production in Italy
Marchetti, Domenico J.; Parigi, Giuseppe - Banca d'Italia - 1998
We investigate the prediction of Italian industrial production. We first specify a model based on electricity consumption; we show that the cubic trend in such a model mostly captures the evolution over time of the electricity coefficient, which can be well approximated by a smooth transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113546
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Energy Consumption, Survey Data and the Prediction of Industrial Production in Italy.
Marchetti, D.J.; Parigi, G. - Banca d'Italia - 1998
We investigate the prediction of Italian industrial production. We first specify a model based on electricity consumption; we show that the cubic trend in such a model mostly captures the evolution over time of the electricity coefficient, which can be well approximated by a smooth transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005640937
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Determinants of foreign direct investment flows to Pakistan
Hakro, Ahmed Nawaz; Ghumro, Ikhtiar Ali - In: Journal of Developing Areas 44 (2011) 2, pp. 217-242
This paper investigates the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) flows in dynamic econometric model on Pakistan economy data set (1970-2007). VAR, VEC, generalized impulse response functions, Granger causality, forecasting, three stage least square econometric techniques are used in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213298
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Makroökonomische Prognosen mit gemischten Frequenzen
Wohlrabe, Klaus - In: Ifo Schnelldienst 62 (2009) 21, pp. 22-33
Die Prognose von makroökonomischen Zeitreihen steht häufig vor dem Problem, dass die verwendeten Indikatoren und die … Informationen, die innerhalb einer Periode hinzukommen, in die Prognose einbezogen werden können. Anhand einer Fallstudie für das …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008594348
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Zur Evaluierung von VAR-Prognosen
Hülsewig, Oliver; Mayr, Johannes; Ulbricht, Dirk - In: Ifo Schnelldienst 60 (2007) 07, pp. 19-25
In diesem Beitrag wird die Verwendung von VAR-Modellen für die Prognose des realen Bruttoinlandsprodukts in den …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005048259