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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998700
werden. Die Prognose der Veränderungen auf regionaler Ebene zeigt, dass auch in einem baden-württembergischen Gunststandort … the milk quota regulation. The forecast shows that even in a favoured region for milk production, the overall output of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142854
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
Regelmäßige Veröffentlichungen makroökonomischer Kennzahlen, die von den Erwartungen der Marktteilnehmer abweichen, wirken sich in rund zwei Drittel der Fälle sofort auf den deutschen Aktienmarkt aus. Vor allem Daten zu Investitionen, Zahlen über die realwirtschaftlichen Aktivitäten oder...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732340
Parallel zu der Abwertung des Yen von November 1988 (120,67 Y/$) bis April 1990 (160,35 Y/$), fielen die Aktienkurse an der Börse von Tokyo. Die Bank von Japan hat in dieser Zeit durch fünf Diskontsatzerhöhungen den japanischen Zins dem internationalen Niveau angenähert. Der sogenannte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005055970
bietet sich daher an, die erprobten Konjunkturindikatoren, zusammen mit anderen Variablen, zur Erklärung und Prognose von … Konjunkturtest einen wichtigen Beitrag zur Finanzmarktanalyse und -prognose leisten können. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056089
The study examines the information content of press announcements of S&P 400 additions between 2002 and 2007. Prior research into stock index additions has explained the positive valuation effects of additions to S&P indices mostly in terms of the price pressure hypothesis and downward sloping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010998963
In this paper we conducted an analysis of stock market risk in Romania, namely on the basis of BET-FI sectoral index (Bucharest Exchange Trading Investment Funds) volatility, developed by the Bucharest Stock Exchange (BSE). We tried to identify an econometric model to model the volatility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860034
Most conventional fuzzy time series models (Type 1 models) utilize only one variable in forecasting. Furthermore, only part of the observations in relation to that variable are used. To utilize more of that variable's observations in forecasting, this study proposes the use of a Type 2 fuzzy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874456
The paper addresses the question of how the exchange rate dynamics affects the analysis of linkages between national stock markets. We consider two ways of tackling the problem. The first one consists in denominating the analyzed quotations in the same currency. The second deals with a direct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010875604