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The overarching aim of the present paper is to investigate the pattern of returns and volatility in the US and the UK …
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the volatility of US stock market during the subprime crisis is significantly transmitted to Asian and European financial … markets. Moreover, UK and Swiss financial markets present an important role in emitting volatility to Asian markets. In …. All residuals showed enhanced volatility during the financial crisis period of mid 2007-2008. Moreover, the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754852
market to New York, Pairs and Frankfurt stock markets. Within the European stock markets, there are unidirectional volatility … spillover effects from Frankfurt to Paris and from Paris to London. Volatility increases induced by bad news are transmitted … more strongly than volatility declines. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816696
This paper employs a statistical approach to identify which sectors of the US economy are currently the most suitable indicators for monitoring the recovery. A comprehensive list of potential leading indicators is constructed through the application of economic theory. By applying a detailed...
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This paper develops a new non-linear model to analyse the business cycle by exploiting the relationship between the asymmetrical behaviour of the cycle and leading indicators. The model proposed is an innovations form of the structural model underlying simple exponential smoothing that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005149035
correlation between the indicator and GDP growth, to reduce the undesirable short-term volatility and to maintain its early …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367058