Showing 1 - 10 of 1,222
This paper explores income and consumption smoothing patterns among the member countries of each of the CFA zones-the CEMAC2 and the WAEMU3-during the period 1980-2000. I find that for the CEMAC, only about 15 percent of shocks to GDP are smoothed through the standard channels (that is, capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599656
Sovereign risk premia in several euro area countries have risen markedly since 2008, driving up credit spreads in the private sector as well. We propose a New Keynesian model of a two-region monetary union that accounts for this “sovereign risk channel.” The model is calibrated to the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790357
We investigate the pricing of sovereign credit risk over the period 2008-2010 for selected advanced economies by examining two widely-used indicators: sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and relative asset swap (RAS) spreads. Cointegration analysis suggests the existence of an imperfect market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650642
Im System der deutschen Privaten Krankenversicherung kommt es bei lebenslangen Verträgen zum Aufbau von Alterungsrückstellungen. Beim Versichererwechsel werden diese nach alter Rechtslage gar nicht, nach der Gesundheitsreform 2007 nur im Rahmen eines Basistarifs übertragen. Zu ermitteln ist...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008791417
This paper studies the pricing of financial assets in a complete general equilibrium set-up. We begin with an asset pricing model à la Lucas grafted on a standard Real Business Cycles model. We provide a new decentralized interpretation of such a model in which firms make meaningful investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504725
The recent studies by Blanchard (2004) and Favero and Giavazzi (2004) imply that a tight monetary policy consistent with an inflation-targeting framework in emerging market economies could actually increase the price level due to the lack of fiscal discipline and the associated high risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504820
This paper uses the exponential generalised heteroscedasticity model-in-mean (EGARCH- M) to analyse the relationship between the equity risk premium and macroeconomic volatility. This premium depends upon conditional volatility, which is significantly affected by the long bond yield, acting as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005523933
This paper tests for the presence of non-linear dependence in the black- market Polish zloty-dollar exchangeg rate. Using the GARCH-M model, we illustrate use of the Marquardt (1963) alternative to the Berndt, Hall and Hausman (1974) iterative nonlinear algorithm for estimation of such models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005536790
A stochastic optimization model was developed to determine optimal testing strategies, costs, and risks of a dual marketing system. The model chooses the testing strategy (application, intensity, and tolerance) that maximizes utility (minimizes disutility) of additional system costs due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005494011
The paper contains a phenomenological description of the whole US forward rate curve (FRC), based on data in the period 1990-1996. It is found that the average deviation of the FRC from the spot rate grows as the square-root of the maturity, with a prefactor which is comparable to the spot rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005495402