Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of...

This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with...

We study the sovereign default model that has been used to account for the cyclical behavior of interest rates in emerging market economies. This model is often solved using the discrete state space technique with evenly spaced grid points. We show that this method necessitates a large number of...

Option prices provide valuable information on market expectations. This paper attempts to extract market expectations, as conveyed by an implied risk-neutral probability distribution, from option prices for the dollar-euro exchange rate. Returns' volatilities are inferred from observed and...

Building on the widely-used double-lognormal approach by Bahra (1997), this paper presents a multi-lognormal approach with restrictions to extract risk-neutral probability density functions (RNPs) for various asset classes. The contributions are twofold: first, on the technical side, the paper...

Financial frictions have been identified as key factors affecting economic fluctuations and growth. But, can institutional reforms reduce financial frictions? Based on a canonical investment model, we consider two potential channels: (i) financial transaction costs at the firm level; and (ii)...

This paper applies the Nakagami-m distribution for the derivation of unit hydrograph (UH). The applicability of this distribution was verified using the data from 13 watersheds and results were compared with other distributions, viz., Gamma (GM), Beta, normal (NL), log-normal (LN), Weibull (WB),...

We have studied the statistical mechanics of money circulation in a closed economic system. An explicit statistical formulation of the circulation velocity of money is presented for the first time by introducing the concept of holding time of money. The result indicates that the velocity is...

This paper deals with a current status of the forestry appointment land in the Poltava region. It has been found, that the improvement of the economic indicators of the land use is only possible through intensification under condition of maintaining the balanced development.

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyze volatility transmission between the Japanese stock and foreign exchange markets. Design/methodology/approach – In contrast to the existing literature, industry-level stock data are applied to a trivariate Baba, Engle, Kraft and...