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This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth,? describing the … expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our empirical analysis suggests that this Phillips curve may be … reasonably flat. We show that the persistence of inflation and unemployment, in response to monetary policy shocks, is related to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008520206
In order to provide medium run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for the euro area, we assess the … indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if … in inflation in a timely manner. But, from that point of view, the construction of a ''synthetic core'' indicator helps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056518
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998595
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998676
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth,? describing the … expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our empirical analysis suggests that this Phillips curve may be … reasonably flat. We show that the persistence of inflation and unemployment, in response to monetary policy shocks, is related to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955553
variations over time in the central bank's inflation target. We derive a closed-form solution for the model, and analyze its … monetary policies and inflation persistence. In particular, we employ the model to illustrate and assess the critique that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011269503
This paper examines the relationship between cyclical output and inflation in models commonly used for monetary policy … finding is that these models imply a strong negative relationship between inflation and output, a result that is at odds with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005212000
In this chapter, Pierre Fortin provides a critique of the conduct of Canadian monetary policy in the 1990s, a critique that he developed throughout the decade. While not denying that the US economic slowdown in the early 1990s reduced growth in Canada, Fortin lays the blame for the inferior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157590
The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157613
This article reviews the evolution of Lucas theory of Phillips curve. His theory is based on optimal decisions of subjects on supply of products or labor and full price and wage flexibility in competitive markets. In Lucas opinion Phillips curve expresses intertemporal substitution of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005258132