In this paper we test the ability of three of the most popular methods to forecast the South African currency crisis of … crisis to conduct an out-of-sample experiment. In sum, the signals approach was not able to forecast the outof- sample crisis …

werden. Die Prognose der Veränderungen auf regionaler Ebene zeigt, dass auch in einem baden-württembergischen Gunststandort … the milk quota regulation. The forecast shows that even in a favoured region for milk production, the overall output of …

The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …