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Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825666
We analyze situations in which an expert is biased toward some decision but cares also about his reputation in the … market for experts. The information the expert reveals decreases as his bias moves toward stronger preference for the status … if reports are not public. Finally, sequential consultation of experts reduces the information obtained when reports are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368142
This paper analyses the market for professional (expert) services where the experts are motivated by reputational … characteristics can induce clients to choose between experts with different reputations. The paper shows that clients choices have an … important impact on the incentives of experts to provide a high quality service. In particular, sorting of clients affects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008527062
toward some favoured decision but cares also about its reputation on the market for experts. We then analyse the … on experts biased against the status quo. We also show that it is optimal to publically disclose the expert report …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621861
We analyze how financial experts influence asset prices in a sequential trading model. In the model, an expert of … information about the expert's ability is private to traders and only revealed through trades. When the expert's reputation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110283
We examine the role of non-economic partnerships in promoting international economic exchange. Since far-sighted countries are more willing to join costly international partnerships such as environmental treaties, environmental engagement tends to encourage international lending. Countries with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666580
We consider two locations in tandem of an inventory model, so-called the buffer and the store. The content levels in both locations are controlled simultaneously by transferring inventory from the buffer location to the store location. Under a certain cost function that takes into account the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010999606
We consider two locations in tandem of an inventory model, so-called the buffer and the store. The content levels in both locations are controlled simultaneously by transferring inventory from the buffer location to the store location. Under a certain cost function that takes into account the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010847555
process is proved by using martingale techniques, an expression of ruin probability is obtained, and bounds for ruin …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010847722
A test procedure to detect a change in the value of the parameter in the drift of a diffusion process is proposed. The test statistic is asymptotically distribution free under the null hypothesis that the true parameter does not change. Also, the test is shown to be consistent under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010848673